Match Info

COSTA RICA: PRIMERA DIVISION - CLAUSURA - ROUND 21

Date: 29 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Ebal Rodriguez Aguilar (Guápiles)

Referee: Fallas E. (Cos)


	Santos de Guápiles		Guadalupe

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	2.9
	2.15	3.4	2.8
	2.05	3.35	3.1
	2.17	3.6	3.26
	2.2	3.2	3
	2.1	3.5	3.08	Watch
	2.12	3.55	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.04)	3.43 ↓ (3.48)	3.01 ↓ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santos de Guápiles
43%

Draw
26.7%

Guadalupe
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

27.1%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

27.2%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos de Guápiles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Guadalupe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos de Guápiles than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guadalupe than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	62.5%	25%

Santos de Guápiles - Guadalupe Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Santos de Guápiles will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Guadalupe will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Santos de Guápiles won 2.

Recent matches Santos de Guápiles is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Guadalupe is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Santos de Guápiles could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Santos de Guápiles will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 23 head-to-head matches Santos de Guápiles won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 46-42.

Including matches at home between the teams Santos de Guápiles won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 19-21.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos de Guápiles
Costa Rican Primera Division
22.04.23	San Carlos - Santos de Guápiles	3:2 ✺
18.04.23	Santos de Guápiles - Sporting San José	2:0 ✺
14.04.23	Pérez Zeledón - Santos de Guápiles	1:1 ✺
09.04.23	Santos de Guápiles - Herediano	2:1 ✺
03.04.23	Municipal Grecia - Santos de Guápiles	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LWTWL
- Guadalupe FC
Costa Rican Primera Division
22.04.23	Pérez Zeledón - Guadalupe	3:1 ✺
19.04.23	Guadalupe - San Carlos	2:3 ✺
16.04.23	Guanacasteca - Guadalupe	2:0 ✺
10.04.23	Guadalupe - Municipal Grecia	1:1 ✺
03.04.23	Puntarenas FC - Guadalupe	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Primera Division
26.02.23	Guadalupe - Santos de Guápiles	1:3
27.08.22	Guadalupe - Santos de Guápiles	3:0
30.07.22	Santos de Guápiles - Guadalupe	3:3
30.04.22	Santos de Guápiles - Guadalupe	6:0
18.02.22	Guadalupe - Santos de Guápiles	4:1
28.11.21	Guadalupe - Santos de Guápiles	0:5
16.09.21	Santos de Guápiles - Guadalupe	2:2

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