Match Info

Primera Division - Clausura - Round 7

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Coyella Fonseca (San José)

Where to Watch on TV:


Costa-rica	FUTV, TDMAX


	Guadalupe		San Carlos

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	2.88
	2.28	3.05	3.05	Watch
	2.45	3.25	3.28
	2.32	3.23	3.09	Watch
	2.25	2.9	2.9
	2.37	3.16	3.03	Watch
	2.33	3	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.38)	3.08 ↑ (3.06)	3.05 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guadalupe
39.8%

Draw
29.9%

San Carlos
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

29.8%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

30.2%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guadalupe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

San Carlos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guadalupe than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Carlos than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Guadalupe - San Carlos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Delgado J. (G) 2. Miranda R. 16. Ayala L. 35. Mendez G. 4. Guzman K. 32. Taylor S. 10. Morales E. 11. Angulo M. (C) 34. Morera G. M. 7. Ruiz J. 15. Demetrius T.	1. Gonzalez M. (G) 6. Piedra Y. 16. Castillo G. 20. Rivera R. 22. Aguero J. 5. Martinez C. 10. Cerdas K. 11. Cordoba R. (C) 21. Venegas J. 26. Rojas O. 9. Martinez B.
Substitutes
27. Amador A. 21. Bonilla B. 99. Leal R. (G) 23. Lopez B. 12. Mclean K. 37. Mondy J. 8. Nunez S. 5. Quiros W. 14. Rojas H. 19. Wright S.	33. Castro G. 92. Cordoba K. 4. Fonseca P. 31. Hernandez E. 30. Masis D. 19. McDonald J. 41. Pilarte J. 12. Sanchez D. 70. Solano C. 23. Vega J. (G)
Coaches
Wright M.	Centeno W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Rivera R. ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, Morera G. M. ⚽,
18', 2 - 1, Morales E. ⚽,
25', Angulo M. 🟨,
37', Morera G. M. 🟨,
41', Delgado J. 🟨,
42', 2 - 2, Martinez B. ⚽,
45+11', 3 - 2, Guzman K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Morera G. M. ↓, Quiros W. ↑,
49', 3 - 3, Martinez C. ⚽,
64', Castillo G. 🟨,
67', 3 - 4, Rojas O. ⚽,
71', Ruiz J. ↓, Lopez B. ↑,
71', Angulo M. ↓, Wright S. ↑,
71', Mendez G. ↓, Bonilla B. ↑,
79', Rivera R. ↓, Fonseca P. ↑,
79', Rojas O. ↓, Hernandez E. ↑,
85', Ayala L. 🟨,
86', Morales E. ↓, Mondy J. ↑,
86', Taylor S. ↓, Amador A. ↑,
86', Martinez B. ↓, McDonald J. ↑,
86', Venegas J. ↓, Sanchez D. ↑,
86', Cerdas K. ↓, Masis D. ↑,
90+4', McDonald J. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guadalupe won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Guadalupe is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guadalupe won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 27:37. (average 1.4:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Guadalupe won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 1.7:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	San Carlos	9	5	0	4	8:9	-1	15

Last Results with these Odds

Guadalupe - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 38.28%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guadalupe FC
Costa Rican Primera Division
08.02.26	Sporting San José - Guadalupe	1:1 ✺
27.01.26	Guadalupe - Alajuelense	1:3 ✺
24.01.26	Puntarenas FC - Guadalupe	0:0 ✺
20.01.26	Herediano - Guadalupe	4:0 ✺
18.01.26	Guadalupe - Municipal Liberia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TLTLW
- AD San Carlos
Costa Rican Primera Division
08.02.26	Deportivo Saprissa - San Carlos	2:1 ✺
28.01.26	San Carlos - Municipal Liberia	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Alajuelense - San Carlos	1:0 ✺
21.01.26	San Carlos - Puntarenas FC	1:0 ✺
18.01.26	San Carlos - Sporting San José	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Primera Division
24.10.25	San Carlos - Guadalupe	1:1
11.09.25	Guadalupe - San Carlos	2:3
19.04.23	Guadalupe - San Carlos	2:3
19.02.23	San Carlos - Guadalupe	2:0
21.09.22	Guadalupe - San Carlos	2:1
19.04.22	San Carlos - Guadalupe	2:1
03.02.22	Guadalupe - San Carlos	3:1

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