Match Info

Primera Division - Clausura - Round 21

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Ebal Rodriguez Aguilar (Guápiles)

Referee: Bravo A. (Cos)

Where to Watch on TV:


Costa-rica	Tigo Sports


	Santos de Guápiles		Pérez Zeledón

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.25	3.3
	1.9	3.2	3.6
	2.08	3.2	3.5	Watch
	2.17	3.25	3.62
	2.08	3.22	3.67	Watch
	2	3.1	3.75
	2.14	3.3	3.35	Watch
	2.08	3.2	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.98)	3.22 ↓ (3.26)	3.54 ↓ (3.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santos de Guápiles
44.9%

Draw
28.9%

Pérez Zeledón
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

28.5%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

28.9%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos de Guápiles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Pérez Zeledón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos de Guápiles than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pérez Zeledón than the current prediction. (-2%)

Santos de Guápiles - Pérez Zeledón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Morales B. (G) 8. Esquivel M. 25. Climaco A. 22. Aguero J. (C) 2. Smith J. 24. Barthley D. 88. Arauz A. 6. Ramirez F. 31. Aguilar D. 20. Ruiz A. 53. Villalobos J.	1. Segura B. (C) 23. Aguirre J. 25. Azofeifa Rivas J. M. 5. Fernandez W. 3. Fajardo K. 6. Hernandez L. 4. Rodriguez R. 30. Rivera Stuart J. 14. Gordon J. 70. Solano C. 12. Mitchell J.
Substitutes
13. Aju M. (G) 15. Cedeno F. 29. Cerdas K. 7. Cordero Gonzalez J. 41. Leal Y. 14. Mendez G. 68. Ramirez J.	18. Baltodano O. 21. Bonilla B. 22. Delgado J. (G) 7. Garita R. 62. Hudson A. 28. Marin E. 11. Roques J.
Coaches
Centeno W.	Royero Gutierrez O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Ramirez F. ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, Solano C. ⚽,
45', 2 - 1, Villalobos J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Smith J. 🟨,
57', Mitchell J. 🟥,
61', Azofeifa Rivas J. M. ↓, Bonilla B. ↑,
62', Rivera Stuart J. ↓, Hudson A. ↑,
67', Barthley D. ↓, Leal Y. ↑,
67', Esquivel M. ↓, Cerdas K. ↑,
87', 3 - 1, Villalobos J. ⚽,
88', Villalobos J. ↓, Cordero Gonzalez J. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos de Guápiles won 1.

Recent form of Santos de Guápiles has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Pérez Zeledón has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Santos de Guápiles may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Santos de Guápiles could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santos de Guápiles won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:31. (average 1.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Santos de Guápiles won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 1.9:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos de Guápiles
Costa Rican Primera Division
25.04.25	Santa Ana - Santos de Guápiles	3:3 ✺
19.04.25	Santos de Guápiles - Puntarenas FC	1:1 ✺
15.04.25	Herediano - Santos de Guápiles	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Santos de Guápiles - Sporting San José	2:3 ✺
06.04.25	Alajuelense - Santos de Guápiles	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TTLLL
- Pérez Zeledón
Costa Rican Primera Division
27.04.25	Pérez Zeledón - Municipal Liberia	1:5 ✺
20.04.25	Sporting San José - Pérez Zeledón	0:0 ✺
15.04.25	Pérez Zeledón - Guanacasteca	3:0 ✺
12.04.25	Cartagines - Pérez Zeledón	3:0 ✺
04.04.25	San Carlos - Pérez Zeledón	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Primera Division
01.03.25	Pérez Zeledón - Santos de Guápiles	2:1
16.10.24	Pérez Zeledón - Santos de Guápiles	3:1
25.07.24	Santos de Guápiles - Pérez Zeledón	3:3
29.03.24	Pérez Zeledón - Santos de Guápiles	2:1
24.01.24	Santos de Guápiles - Pérez Zeledón	2:1
22.10.23	Santos de Guápiles - Pérez Zeledón	2:0
19.08.23	Pérez Zeledón - Santos de Guápiles	1:1

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