Match Info

Date: 27 March 2022, Sunday


	Santutxu		Basconia

	1	X	2
	3.8	2.95	1.9
	3.65	2.88	1.88
	3.7	2.9	1.94
	3.89	2.89	1.96
	3.8	3.18	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.77 ↑ (3.22)	2.96 ↑ (2.91)	1.93 ↓ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santutxu
23.7%

Draw
30.1%

Basconia
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

30.7%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

30%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santutxu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Basconia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santutxu than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basconia than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Santutxu - Basconia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Santutxu won 0.

Santutxu is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Basconia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Basconia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Basconia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Santutxu won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Santutxu won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santutxu FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
20.03.22	Beti Gazte - Santutxu	1:1 ✺
13.03.22	Santutxu - Portugalete	3:3 ✺
05.03.22	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Santutxu	4:1 ✺
27.02.22	Santutxu - Alavés B	0:3 ✺
20.02.22	Beasain - Santutxu	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TTLLT
- CD Basconia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
20.03.22	Basconia - Deusto	1:1 ✺
12.03.22	Lagun Onak - Basconia	2:1 ✺
06.03.22	Basconia - Vitoria	1:2 ✺
26.02.22	Amurrio - Basconia	0:1 ✺
20.02.22	Basconia - Pasaia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
21.11.21	Basconia - Santutxu	1:0
09.05.21	Santutxu - Basconia	0:0
18.04.21	Basconia - Santutxu	0:1
02.02.20	Basconia - Santutxu	3:0
15.09.19	Santutxu - Basconia	1:0
10.02.19	Santutxu - Basconia	0:1
22.09.18	Basconia - Santutxu	0:2

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