Match Info

1. Lig - Round 19

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday

Referee: Arslan Y. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tabii Spor 6, Tabii


	Sarıyer		Bodrumspor

	1	X	2
	3	3.2	2.1	Watch
	3.01	3.29	2.19
	3.1	3.51	2.16	Watch
	3.1	3.25	2.2
	3.19	3.2	2.11	Watch
	3.1	3.33	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↓ (3.84)	3.3 ↑ (3.2)	2.15 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarıyer
29.7%

Draw
27.8%

Bodrumspor
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

28.6%

47.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

28%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarıyer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sarıyer's performance.

Bodrumspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarıyer than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sarıyer that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bodrumspor than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bodrumspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Sarıyer - Bodrumspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Sarıyer will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Bodrumspor will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bodrumspor: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Sarıyer (votes: 1 - 20%). Bodrumspor (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 2nd Half - Bodrumspor (2.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Bodrumspor (2.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Sarıyer (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Bodrumspor (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
97. Akyuz F. (G) 13. Berber O. 14. Mert M. 3. Djilobodji P. 19. Bayram O. 6. Traore H. 70. Camara M. 10. Anziani J. 7. Regattin A. 28. Yesilyurt H. E. 9. Dembele P. M.	1. Nogueira Sousa D. F. (G) 27. Yilmaz M. 15. Ajeti Ar. (C) 34. Aytemur A. 77. Sen C. 26. Mohammed M. 21. Aslan A. 10. Brazao P. 99. Seferi T. 7. Dimitrov Z. 90. Habesoglu A.
Substitutes
17. Aydogmus B. 99. Engul B. 11. Koc A. 5. Korkmazoglu E. 8. Mert M. 4. Ozer F. 48. Sol O. 80. Urie A. 1. Uysal A. (G) 22. Yilmaz O.	54. Adiyaman R. (G) 35. Apaydin F. 37. Arkutcu E. 70. Bilsel E. 8. Erdilman M. 11. Imeri O. 91. Ogruce E. 68. Tarim I. 32. Tosun B. (G) 25. Turk A.
Coaches
Cetin S.	Eser B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Dembele P. M. ↓, Urie A. ↑,
18', Seferi T. (Penalty Awarded),
26', Seferi T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 1 - 0, Urie A. ⚽, Camara M. (A),
65', Habesoglu A. ↓, Turk A. ↑,
77', Turk A. 🟨,
78', Brazao P. ↓, Imeri O. ↑,
80', Berber O. ↓, Yilmaz O. ↑,
80', Regattin A. ↓, Engul B. ↑,
89', Aslan A. ↓, Erdilman M. ↑,
90', Camara M. ↓, Ozer F. ↑,
90', Urie A. ↓, Korkmazoglu E. ↑,
90+3', Traore H. 🟨,
90+5', Yesilyurt H. E. 🟨,
90+5', Akyuz F. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarıyer won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Sarıyer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Bodrumspor has had a series of away games.

Bodrumspor is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Sarıyer: Keskin A. (Suspended) Koksaldi E. (Suspended)

There will not play in Bodrumspor: Aytemur A. (Suspended) Fredy (International duty) Obekpa G. (Inactive) Yavuzay B. (Suspended)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Sarıyer won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Sarıyer won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarıyer
Turkish First League
19.12.25	Erokspor - Sarıyer	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Sarıyer - İstanbulspor	1:2 ✺
08.12.25	Hatayspor - Sarıyer	0:3 ✺
Turkish Cup
03.12.25	İstanbulspor - Sarıyer	6:0 ✺
Turkish First League
30.11.25	Sarıyer - Bandırmaspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLWLW
- Bodrumspor
Turkish First League
22.12.25	Bodrumspor - Amed SK	0:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
18.12.25	Gençlerbirliği - Bodrumspor	3:2 ✺
Turkish First League
14.12.25	Erzurumspor - Bodrumspor	2:2 ✺
08.12.25	Bandırmaspor - Bodrumspor	2:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
03.12.25	Muğlaspor - Bodrumspor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
05.03.22	Bodrumspor - Sarıyer	3:0
31.10.21	Sarıyer - Bodrumspor	1:2
Turkish Second League White Group
17.03.19	Sarıyer - Bodrumspor	3:1
27.10.18	Bodrumspor - Sarıyer	1:3
Turkish Second League Red Group
21.01.18	Sarıyer - Bodrumspor	3:1
Turkish Cup
21.09.16	Sarıyer - Bodrumspor	1:0

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