Match Info

1. Lig - Round 11

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Yusuf Ziya Onis (Istanbul)

Referee: Olcar B. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Sarıyer		Manisa FK

	1	X	2
	1.7	4.1	4.33	Watch
	1.62	4.06	4.34
	1.71	4.09	4.63
	1.78	3.93	3.84	Watch
	1.73	3.75	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.78)	3.99 ↑ (3.93)	4.28 ↑ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarıyer
54.7%

Draw
23.4%

Manisa FK
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

23.6%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

21.5%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarıyer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Manisa FK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarıyer than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sarıyer that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manisa FK than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	12.5%	62.5%

Sarıyer - Manisa FK Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Sarıyer will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Manisa will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Manisa: 29% – 96%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Uysal A. (G) 13. Berber O. 14. Mert M. 3. Djilobodji P. (C) 19. Bayram O. 28. Yesilyurt H. E. 70. Camara M. 17. Aydogmus B. 10. Anziani J. 9. Dembele P. M. 15. Babacar K.	1. Karakus V. (G) 19. Erdem U. 50. Gocmen B. 4. Herelle C. 2. Talum Y. 25. Cissokho M. 60. Toure B. (C) 10. Lindseth J. 17. Kahraman O. 41. Suleyman B. 9. Diony L.
Substitutes
97. Akyuz F. (G) 11. Koc A. 5. Korkmazoglu E. 2. Kurucuk F. 8. Mert M. 4. Ozer F. 48. Sol O. 6. Traore H. 80. Urie A. 22. Yilmaz O.	21. Akboga E. 20. Benrahou Y. 22. Bodur S. (G) 27. Gureler Y. 35. Inal F. 36. Karabatak S. (G) 45. Karapo A. 26. Yuce Y. 8. Yurdakul K. 29. Yurtdas O.
Coaches
Cetin S.	Taskin T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kahraman O. ↓, Benrahou Y. ↑,
46', Yesilyurt H. E. ↓, Traore H. ↑,
47', Traore H. 🟨,
50', Dembele P. M. 🟨,
65', Babacar K. ↓, Urie A. ↑,
71', Aydogmus B. ↓, Yilmaz O. ↑,
74', Diony L. 🟨,
77', Anziani J. 🟨,
78', Toure B. ↓, Yurdakul K. ↑,
85', Suleyman B. ↓, Karapo A. ↑,
86', Diony L. 🟨,
90+2', Bayram O. 🟨,
90+2', Anziani J. ↓, Sol O. ↑,
90+5', Benrahou Y. ↓, Inal F. ↑,
90+11', Inal F. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 16).

In recent matches, Sarıyer has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Manisa is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sarıyer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sarıyer is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Sarıyer: Eksioglu B. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Manisa: Ibik A. (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sarıyer won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Sarıyer won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarıyer
Turkish First League
17.10.25	Umraniyespor - Sarıyer	1:3 ✺
05.10.25	Sarıyer - Sakaryaspor	1:2 ✺
29.09.25	Adana Demirspor - Sarıyer	0:3 ✺
25.09.25	Amed SK - Sarıyer	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Sarıyer - Pendikspor	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWLL
- Manisa FK
Turkish First League
18.10.25	Manisa FK - Erzurumspor	1:1 ✺
03.10.25	Çorum - Manisa FK	3:1 ✺
28.09.25	Manisa FK - Bodrumspor	0:4 ✺
24.09.25	Bandırmaspor - Manisa FK	1:4 ✺
20.09.25	Manisa FK - Erokspor	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League White Group
02.05.21	Sarıyer - Manisa FK	0:0
30.12.20	Manisa FK - Sarıyer	1:1
08.02.20	Sarıyer - Manisa FK	2:3
29.09.19	Manisa FK - Sarıyer	2:0

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