Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 July 2026, Thursday

Location: Veritas Stadion (Turku)

Referee: Roucek K. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Solidsport TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Inter Turku		Sarajevo

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.60	3.90	Watch
	1.63	3.70	4.60
	1.74	3.75	4.30	Watch
	1.67	4	5.28
	1.65	4.1	4.67	Watch
	1.67	3.2	5.1
	1.68	3.94	4.47	Watch
	1.59	3.95	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.99)	3.78 ↑ (3.48)	4.69 ↑ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter Turku
55.6%

Draw
24.6%

Sarajevo
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

26.4%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

25.7%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter Turku has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Inter Turku's performance.

Sarajevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sarajevo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Turku than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Inter Turku that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarajevo than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sarajevo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.4%	14%	4.7%

Inter Turku - Sarajevo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Inter Turku (2.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Sarajevo (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Inter Turku will win (35 of 43 users predict this - 81.4%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.77% – 93.03%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Inter Turku (votes: 3 - 50%). Sarajevo (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Huuhtanen E. (G) 18. Saarinen S. 22. Kuittinen L. (C) 21. Kangasniemi I. 2. Niska J. 9. Tuominen J. 17. Ampofo B. 14. Laine J. 23. Essomba L. 10. Conteh A. 16. Jephta C.	31. Banic I. (G) 33. Ristovski S. 2. Maroodza S. 30. Dajcer L. 22. Beganovic A. 20. Elezi A. 38. Meite S. 10. Ljajic A. (C) 77. Kupresak M. 11. Kyeremeh F. 9. Mikic L.
Substitutes
4. Ahiabu P. 11. Botue J. 26. Huovila V. 19. Jarvinen I. 35. Kiiskila E. 34. Mendolin R. 25. Salomaa H. 20. Sandler A. 36. Seppa V. (G) 24. Tauriainen J. 27. Ulundu V. 12. Vuorjoki E. (G)	23. Agyekum J. 99. Barisic B. 59. Cimirot G. 8. Galesic A. 3. Gojkovic R. 27. Hujber L. 35. Ignatkov S. 6. Ivanisevic J. 17. Kosi F. 13. Musija S. (G) 45. Zahirovic I. (G)
Coaches
Vasara V.	Zekic Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Kyeremeh F. ⚽, Mikic L. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', 1 - 1, Conteh A. ⚽,
62', Ljajic A. ↓, Galesic A. ↑,
62', Mikic L. ↓, Barisic B. ↑,
62', Ampofo B. ↓, Ahiabu P. ↑,
75', Kupresak M. ↓, Agyekum J. ↑,
75', Elezi A. ↓, Cimirot G. ↑,
83', Conteh A. ↓, Botue J. ↑,
83', Tuominen J. ↓, Jarvinen I. ↑,
87', 2 - 1, Jephta C. ⚽, Ahiabu P. (A),
87', Jephta C. 🟨,
90', Essomba L. ↓, Tauriainen J. ↑,
90', Meite S. ↓, Hujber L. ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 1-1.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Sarajevo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Inter Turku has had a series of away games.

Inter Turku could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Inter Turku won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter Turku
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.07.26	Sarajevo - Inter Turku	1:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
30.06.26	VPS Vaasa - Inter Turku	2:3 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
27.06.26	IFK Mariehamn - Inter Turku	0:2 ✺
23.06.26	Inter Turku - SJK	1:1 ✺
17.06.26	HJK - Inter Turku	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWWTT
- FK Sarajevo
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.07.26	Sarajevo - Inter Turku	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
04.07.26	Zrinjski Mostar - Sarajevo	2:1 ✺
01.07.26	Sutjeska - Sarajevo	1:2 ✺
Bosnian Premier League
25.05.26	Sarajevo - Željezničar Sarajevo	1:0 ✺
21.05.26	Velež Mostar - Sarajevo	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
09.07.26	Sarajevo - Inter Turku	1:1

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