Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 12

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Eva Peron (Junin) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Amiconi B. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	15:30	ESPN Premium
Usa	14:30	Fanatiz
Venezuela	14:30	Inter
International	18:30	TyC Sports Internacional


	Sarmiento de Junín		Aldosivi

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.85	3.9	Watch
	2.15	2.9	3.75
	2.2	2.88	3.85	Watch
	2.28	2.93	4
	2.21	2.92	3.88	Watch
	2.15	2.75	3.8
	2.21	2.83	3.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.09)	2.87 ↓ (2.97)	3.86 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarmiento de Junín
42.9%

Draw
32.8%

Aldosivi
24.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.2%

31.1%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

30.5%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Aldosivi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aldosivi than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Sarmiento de Junín - Aldosivi Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Sarmiento will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Sarmiento (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sarmiento (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Burrai J. (G) 29. Santamaria T. 34. Seyral A. 2. Insaurralde J. (C) 77. Pasquini N. 5. Garcia M. 11. Gomez J. 15. Zabala C. 25. Villalba C. 9. Diego Churin 27. Marabel J.	1. Werner A. (G) 33. Zalazar N. 28. Moya S. 3. Roman F. 4. Gonzalez R. 13. Gino F. (C) 32. Leys F. 18. Rodriguez L. 11. Palavecino A. 9. Arias J. 55. Garcia M.
Substitutes
35. Alaggia F. 26. Arismendi Y. 6. Arturia G. 12. Ayala T. (G) 19. Contrera J. 16. Delgado U. 18. Gimenez O. 32. Gonzalez A. 7. Magnin P. 10. Renteria J. 8. Salle S. 3. Suarez L.	5. Bochi R. 23. Chicco I. (G) 19. Cordero N. 2. Enrique G. 27. Fernandez T. 7. Guzman N. 21. Iniguez E. 20. Marquez De Meneses R. L. 16. Morello M. 6. Novillo J. 8. Rolon E. 30. Villarreal A.
Coaches
Sava F.	Farre G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', Diego Churin 🟥,
45', 1 - 0, Zabala C. ⚽, Gomez J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Roman F. ↓, Guzman N. ↑,
47', Gino F. 🟨,
57', Gino F. ↓, Rolon E. ↑,
58', Gonzalez R. ↓, Enrique G. ↑,
67', Arias J. ↓, Cordero N. ↑,
71', Gomez J. ↓, Salle S. ↑,
77', Garcia M. ↓, Villarreal A. ↑,
77', Zabala C. ↓, Contrera J. ↑,
81', Salle S. 🟨,
86', 2 - 0, Marabel J. (Penalty Awarded),
86', Marabel J. 🟨,
90+1', Contrera J. 🟨,
90+1', Leys F. 🟨,
90+2', Pasquini N. ↓, Suarez L. ↑,
90+2', Marabel J. ↓, Magnin P. ↑,
90+2', Villalba C. ↓, Alaggia F. ↑,
90+4', Rolon E. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 4.

Sarmiento is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Aldosivi's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sarmiento could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Sarmiento: Diaz G. (Red Card) Godoy J. (Knee Injury) Gonzalez G. (Knee Injury) Magnin P. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Aldosivi: Breitenbruch N. (Knee Injury) Moyano S. (Knee Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Sarmiento won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.3:0.7).

Outrights of Argentinian Liga Profesional for now

Sarmiento Junin: 2.27%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarmiento de Junín
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.03.26	River Plate - Sarmiento de Junín	2:0 ✺
10.03.26	Sarmiento de Junín - Racing	0:0 ✺
03.03.26	Sarmiento de Junín - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:0 ✺
26.02.26	Sarmiento de Junín - Unión Santa Fe	1:3 ✺
20.02.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Sarmiento de Junín	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTWLL
- CA Aldosivi
Argentinian Liga Profesional
16.03.26	Aldosivi - Huracán Buenos Aires	0:0 ✺
11.03.26	Atlético Tucumán - Aldosivi	1:1 ✺
02.03.26	Banfield - Aldosivi	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Unión Santa Fe - Aldosivi	1:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
17.02.26	Aldosivi - San Miguel	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
13.09.25	Sarmiento de Junín - Aldosivi	2:0
01.03.25	Aldosivi - Sarmiento de Junín	2:2
03.09.22	Aldosivi - Sarmiento de Junín	1:2
09.10.21	Sarmiento de Junín - Aldosivi	3:0
Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.03.18	Sarmiento de Junín - Aldosivi	1:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
17.12.16	Sarmiento de Junín - Aldosivi	0:2
02.03.15	Sarmiento de Junín - Aldosivi	2:2

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