Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 10

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Eva Peron (Junin)

Referee: Arasa N. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Mexico	Disney+, Fanatiz
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Sarmiento de Junín		Racing

	1	X	2
	3.4	3	2.3	Watch
	3.4	2.92	2.35
	3.56	3.03	2.37
	3.44	3.01	2.32	Watch
	3.25	2.88	2.3
	3.43	2.95	2.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↓ (4.42)	2.97 ↓ (3.5)	2.32 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarmiento de Junín
27.6%

Draw
31.8%

Racing
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.3%

26.9%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

26.6%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarmiento de Junín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sarmiento de Junín's performance.

Racing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Racing might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sarmiento de Junín that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Racing could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Sarmiento de Junín - Racing Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sarmiento will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Racing will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sarmiento (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Racing (3.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Sarmiento (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Sarmiento (votes: 2 - 50%). Racing (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Burrai J. (G) 29. Santamaria T. 34. Seyral A. 2. Insaurralde J. (C) 3. Suarez L. 15. Zabala C. 14. Martinez M. 5. Garcia M. 19. Contrera J. 27. Marabel J. 33. Diaz G.	25. Cambeses F. (G) 4. Cannavo E. 18. Pardo F. 3. Di Cesare M. 27. Rojas G. 11. Zaracho M. 13. Sosa S. (C) 24. Fernandez A. 28. Solari S. 14. Pizarro D. 7. Vergara D.
Substitutes
35. Alaggia F. 26. Arismendi Y. 6. Arturia G. 12. Ayala T. (G) 4. Cabrera J. M. 9. Diego Churin 11. Gomez J. 32. Gonzalez A. 44. Orihuela R. 10. Renteria J. 8. Salle S. 25. Villalba C.	23. Colombo N. 17. Conechny T. 8. Forneris A. 2. Garcia A. 15. Martirena Torres G. N. 10. Miljevic M. 45. Perez E. 58. Perez T. 19. Rodriguez I. 44. Sosa G. 30. Tagliamonte M. (G) 36. Zuculini B.
Coaches
Sava F.	Costas G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Seyral A. 🟨,
30', Di Cesare M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Rojas G. 🟨,
58', Pizarro D. ↓, Conechny T. ↑,
59', Zaracho M. ↓, Miljevic M. ↑,
63', Di Cesare M. 🟨,
65', Fernandez A. ↓, Zuculini B. ↑,
65', Vergara D. ↓, Colombo N. ↑,
73', Diaz G. ↓, Renteria J. ↑,
73', Martinez M. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
78', Marabel J. ↓, Diego Churin ↑,
86', Santamaria T. ↓, Cabrera J. M. ↑,
86', Contrera J. ↓, Salle S. ↑,
89', Insaurralde J. 🟨,
89', Pardo F. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 2.

Sarmiento has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Racing is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Racing could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Sarmiento: Godoy J. (Knee Injury) Gonzalez G. (Knee Injury) Magnin P. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Racing: Adrian Martinez (Injury) Carboni V. (Knee Injury) Martirena Torres G. N. (Inactive) Rodriguez B. (Inactive) Rojo M. (Inactive) Torres E. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Sarmiento: Suarez L. (Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Sarmiento won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Racing - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 51.75%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarmiento de Junín
Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.03.26	Sarmiento de Junín - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:0 ✺
26.02.26	Sarmiento de Junín - Unión Santa Fe	1:3 ✺
20.02.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Sarmiento de Junín	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Huracán Buenos Aires - Sarmiento de Junín	1:0 ✺
08.02.26	Sarmiento de Junín - Atlético Tucumán	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLLW
- Racing Club de Avellaneda
Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.03.26	Atlético Tucumán - Racing	0:3 ✺
26.02.26	Racing - Independiente Rivadavia	1:1 ✺
20.02.26	Boca Juniors - Racing	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	Banfield - Racing	0:2 ✺
07.02.26	Racing - Argentinos Juniors	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.07.24	Sarmiento de Junín - Racing	1:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
05.03.24	Racing - Sarmiento de Junín	0:1
19.10.23	Sarmiento de Junín - Racing	1:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.03.23	Racing - Sarmiento de Junín	1:0
03.07.22	Sarmiento de Junín - Racing	1:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
02.04.22	Racing - Sarmiento de Junín	4:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
31.07.21	Racing - Sarmiento de Junín	1:0

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