Match Info

Copa Argentina - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 July 2026, Thursday


	Sarmiento de Junín		Boca Juniors

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6.00	3.30	1.53
	5.9	3.35	1.65	Watch
	6.43	3.45	1.62
	28.60	6.73	1.13	Watch
	5.85	3.35	1.58
	6.34	3.41	1.65	Watch
	6.2	3.4	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.33 ↑ (5.28)	3.86 ↑ (3.55)	1.54 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sarmiento de Junín
10.5%

Draw
25.5%

Boca Juniors
63.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.7%

26.3%

56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17%

25.3%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sarmiento de Junín's form might have worsened.

Boca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Boca Juniors's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sarmiento de Junín, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Boca Juniors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Sarmiento de Junín - Boca Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Ayala T. (G) 29. Santamaria T. 44. Orihuela R. 2. Insaurralde J. (C) 77. Pasquini N. 19. Contrera J. 15. Zabala C. 16. Martinez M. 33. Diaz G. 8. Salle S. 27. Marabel J.	12. Brey L. (G) 17. Lozano L. 4. Figal J. 32. Costa A. 3. Blanco L. 25. Ascacibar S. 18. Delgado M. 19. Flores L. 10. Aranda T. 20. Velasco A. 16. Miguel Merentiel (C)
Substitutes
35. Alaggia F. 1. Arboleda I. (G) 26. Arismendi Y. 6. Arturia G. 9. Diego Churin 5. Garcia M. 23. Gimenez E. 11. Gonzalez G. 7. Magnin P. 40. Marquez B. 21. Mavilla J. 3. Suarez L.	15. Alarcon Cepeda W. H. 11. Angel Romero 27. Braida M. 7. Carlos Palacios 2. Di Lollo L. 13. Garcia J. (G) 9. Gimenez M. 24. Gorosito D. 26. Pellegrino M. 23. Rey Domenech C. 21. Zenon K.
Coaches
Sava F.	Arruabarrena R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Santamaria T. 🟨,
41', Orihuela R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', 0 - 1, Velasco A. ⚽, Delgado M. (A),
57', Diaz G. ↓, Gimenez E. ↑,
57', Martinez M. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
64', Delgado M. 🟨,
70', Marabel J. ↓, Diego Churin ↑,
70', Contrera J. ↓, Mavilla J. ↑,
71', 0 - 2, Flores L. ⚽, Blanco L. (A),
73', Velasco A. ↓, Carlos Palacios ↑,
73', Flores L. ↓, Zenon K. ↑,
84', Ascacibar S. ↓, Alarcon Cepeda W. H. ↑,
85', Aranda T. ↓, Angel Romero ↑,
88', Zabala C. ↓, Magnin P. ↑,

Preview

Neutral location.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 1.

In recent matches, Sarmiento has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Boca Juniors has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Boca Juniors may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Boca Juniors is a strong favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 3:12. (average 0.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Sarmiento won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1).

Outrights of Copa Argentina for now

Boca Juniors: 44.71%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarmiento de Junín
Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.05.26	Belgrano - Sarmiento de Junín	4:0 ✺
25.04.26	Sarmiento de Junín - Tigre	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Rosario Central - Sarmiento de Junín	2:1 ✺
13.04.26	Sarmiento de Junín - Gimnasia La Plata	1:2 ✺
Copa Argentina
08.04.26	Sarmiento de Junín - Tristán Suárez	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWLLW
- Boca Juniors
Club Friendly
08.07.26	Boca Juniors - Athletico Paranaense	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
28.05.26	Boca Juniors - Universidad Católica	0:1 ✺
19.05.26	Boca Juniors - Cruzeiro	1:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
09.05.26	Boca Juniors - Huracán Buenos Aires	2:3 ET ✺
Copa Libertadores
05.05.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Boca Juniors	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
10.11.24	Sarmiento de Junín - Boca Juniors	0:2
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
01.02.24	Boca Juniors - Sarmiento de Junín	1:1
27.08.23	Sarmiento de Junín - Boca Juniors	1:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.07.23	Boca Juniors - Sarmiento de Junín	2:0
12.10.22	Sarmiento de Junín - Boca Juniors	0:1
20.11.21	Boca Juniors - Sarmiento de Junín	2:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
28.02.21	Boca Juniors - Sarmiento de Junín	1:1

Upcoming Matches