Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 5

Date: 19 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Alberto J. Armando (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Valenzuela J. (Ven)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports, Mi Telefe, Telefe
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
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Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
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Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 5
Croatia	Arena Sport 1
Ecuador	ESPN 5
Georgia	Silk Universal
Germany	Sportdigital1+
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	Como TV
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 4
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	ESPN 5
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 5
Poland	Polsat Sport 1
Portugal	Sport TV1
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 5, Inter
World	Onefootball, Pluto TV


	Boca Juniors		Cruzeiro

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	4.1	Watch
	1.95	3.2	4
	2.02	2.98	4.15	Watch
	2.07	3.08	4.49
	2.02	3.02	4.43	Watch
	1.95	2.9	4.2
	2.03	3.11	4.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.95)	3.07 ↓ (3.2)	4.26 ↓ (4.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boca Juniors
47.1%

Draw
30.8%

Cruzeiro
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

29.6%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

31.8%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

Boca Juniors - Cruzeiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Cruzeiro will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Cruzeiro (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cruzeiro (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Brey L. (G) 27. Braida M. 2. Di Lollo L. 32. Costa A. 3. Blanco L. 30. Belmonte T. 5. Paredes L. (C) 18. Delgado M. 36. Aranda T. 9. Gimenez M. 16. Miguel Merentiel	81. Otavio Costa (G) 23. Fagner 15. Fabricio Bruno 34. Jonathan Jesus 6. Kaiki 29. Romero L. (C) 11. Gerson 9. Bruno Rodrigues 10. Matheus Pereira 88. Christian 19. Kaio Jorge
Substitutes
15. Alarcon Cepeda W. H. 29. Angel Romero 24. Barinaga J. 4. Figal J. 13. Garcia J. (G) 21. Herrera A. 11. Janson L. 26. Pellegrino M. 20. Velasco A. 23. Weigandt M. 7. Zeballos E. 22. Zenon K.	91. Chico 77. Japa 43. Joao Marcelo 2. Kaua Moraes 70. Kenji 16. Lucas Silva 7. Marquinhos 31. Matheus Cunha (G) 17. Sinisterra L. 25. Villalba L. 22. Villarreal N. 94. Wanderson
Coaches
Ubeda C.	Artur Jorge

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Miguel Merentiel ⚽, Paredes L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', Fagner 🟨,
54', 1 - 1, Fagner ⚽, Kaiki (A),
63', Bruno Rodrigues ↓, Sinisterra L. ↑,
68', Gerson 🟥,
72', Belmonte T. ↓, Zeballos E. ↑,
73', Costa A. 🟨,
75', Fagner ↓, Kaua Moraes ↑,
81', Kaio Jorge ↓, Villarreal N. ↑,
81', Matheus Pereira ↓, Joao Marcelo ↑,
83', Zeballos E. 🟨,
85', Gimenez M. ↓, Angel Romero ↑,
90+7', Villarreal N. 🟨,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Cruzeiro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Boca Juniors has had a series of away games.

In this match, Boca Juniors is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Boca Juniors: Ascacibar S. (Red Card) Battaglia R. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Carlos Palacios (Knee Injury) Cavani E. (Lower Back Injury) Marchesin A. (Injury)

There will not play in Cruzeiro: Arroyo K. (Red Card) Cassio (Knee Injury) Kaua Prates (Inactive) Matheus Henrique (Inactive)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Boca Juniors won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Outrights of Copa Libertadores for now

Cruzeiro: 5.59%

Last Results with these Odds

Boca Juniors - the odds 1.95 are the expected chance of winning is 48.5%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boca Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional
09.05.26	Boca Juniors - Huracán Buenos Aires	2:3 ET ✺
Copa Libertadores
05.05.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Boca Juniors	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.05.26	Central Córdoba - Boca Juniors	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
28.04.26	Cruzeiro - Boca Juniors	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
23.04.26	Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWLW
- Cruzeiro MG
Brazilian Serie A
16.05.26	Palmeiras - Cruzeiro	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
12.05.26	Cruzeiro - Goiás	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
09.05.26	Bahia - Cruzeiro	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
06.05.26	Universidad Católica - Cruzeiro	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
02.05.26	Cruzeiro - Atlético Mineiro	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
28.04.26	Cruzeiro - Boca Juniors	1:0
Copa Sudamericana
22.08.24	Cruzeiro - Boca Juniors	3:1 penalties
15.08.24	Boca Juniors - Cruzeiro	1:0
Copa Libertadores
04.10.18	Cruzeiro - Boca Juniors	1:1
19.09.18	Boca Juniors - Cruzeiro	2:0

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