The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Belgrano 55%
Draw 27.9%
Sarmiento de Junín 17.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.6%
26.7%
16.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.2%
29.3%
15.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Sarmiento de Junín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Belgrano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
33.3%
16.7%
Belgrano - Sarmiento de Junín Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Belgrano will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Sarmiento will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
EH -1 - Belgrano (3.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Belgrano (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Cardozo T. (G) 2. Maldonado A. 17. Lopez L. 3. Sporle A. 24. Rigoni E. 5. Longo S. 21. Sanchez A. 45. Falcon A. 51. Hernandes R. 11. Gonzalez F. 9. Passerini L.
1. Burrai J. (C) 29. Santamaria T. 34. Seyral A. 3. Suarez L. 77. Pasquini N. 14. Martinez M. 15. Zabala C. 8. Salle S. 27. Marabel J. 11. Gomez J. 7. Magnin P.
Substitutes
26. Benitez Cabrera A. J. 59. Castro T. 28. Daniele M. (G) 22. Fernandez N. 37. Gutierrez L. 42. Lucco J. 32. Mavilla J. 13. Ocampo A. 15. Tulian R. 20. Vazquez F. 30. Zelarayan G. 10. Zelarayan L.
35. Alaggia F. 26. Arismendi Y. 12. Ayala T. (G) 4. Cabrera J. M. 19. Contrera J. 33. Diaz G. 9. Diego Churin 41. Echeverria U. 5. Garcia M. 18. Gimenez O. 40. Marquez B. 30. Monaco M.
Coaches
Zielinski R.
Sava F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
24', Salle S. 🟨,
36', Seyral A. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
36', 1 - 0, Gonzalez F. ⚽, Passerini L. (A),
39', Falcon A. 🟨,
43', 2 - 0, Suarez L. (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Magnin P. ↓, Contrera J. ↑,
55', 3 - 0, Hernandes R. ⚽, Sanchez A. (A),
65', Hernandes R. ↓, Tulian R. ↑,
65', Rigoni E. ↓, Zelarayan L. ↑,
65', Longo S. ↓, Vazquez F. ↑,
71', Passerini L. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
71', Santamaria T. ↓, Cabrera J. M. ↑,
72', Marabel J. ↓, Diego Churin ↑,
79', Falcon A. ↓, Benitez Cabrera A. J. ↑,
86', 4 - 0, Tulian R. ⚽,
Preview
Federation decision.
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Belgrano won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Sarmiento may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Belgrano is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Belgrano: Ricca F.
(Red Card)
There will not play in Sarmiento: Godoy J.
(Knee Injury)
Gonzalez G.
(Knee Injury)
Insaurralde J.
(Red Card)
There are questionable in Belgrano: Velazquez J.
(Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Sarmiento: Orihuela R.
(Inactive)
Renteria J.
(Injury)
Villalba C.
(Injury)
Zabala C.
(Injury)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Belgrano won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 1.6:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Belgrano won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).