Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday


	Sarmiento de La Banda		Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.2	8
	1.27	4.43	11.06
	1.33	5.43	7.65	Watch
	1.3	4.5	9.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.51)	4.64 ↑ (3.8)	9.05 ↑ (5.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarmiento de La Banda
70.1%

Draw
19.8%

Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

23.9%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

23.4%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarmiento de La Banda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sarmiento de La Banda's performance.

Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de La Banda than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sarmiento de La Banda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sarmiento de La Banda - Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
73', Montoya G. 🟥,
76', 1 - 0, Herrera E. R. (Pen),

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarmiento de La Banda
Argentinian Torneo Federal
13.10.24	Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis - Sarmiento de La Banda	1:3 ✺
06.10.24	Central Norte - Sarmiento de La Banda	1:0 penalties ✺
29.09.24	Ciudad de Bolívar - Sarmiento de La Banda	0:0 ✺
22.09.24	Sarmiento de La Banda - Ciudad de Bolívar	1:0 ✺
15.09.24	Sarmiento de La Banda - Sol de América de Formosa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLTWW
- Club Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis
Argentinian Torneo Federal
13.10.24	Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis - Sarmiento de La Banda	1:3 ✺
06.10.24	Sportivo Las Parejas - Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis	1:2 ✺
27.09.24	Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis - Sportivo Las Parejas	1:1 ✺
15.09.24	Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis - Ferro Gen.Pico	1:2 ✺
08.09.24	San Martín de Mendoza - Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
13.10.24	Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis - Sarmiento de La Banda	1:3

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