Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Play Offs - Final

Date: 6 October 2024, Sunday


	Central Norte		Sarmiento de La Banda

	1	X	2
	4.75	2.95	1.75
	4.7	3.05	1.79
	4.65	2.88	1.8
	4.56	3.08	1.92	Watch
	4.95	3.02	1.77
	4.7	3.05	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.72 ↑ (3.08)	3.01 ↑ (2.88)	1.8 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Norte
19.3%

Draw
30.3%

Sarmiento de La Banda
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

31.5%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

31.2%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Norte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Central Norte's form might have worsened.

Sarmiento de La Banda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sarmiento de La Banda's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Norte than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Central Norte, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de La Banda than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sarmiento de La Banda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Central Norte - Sarmiento de La Banda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, (Pen),
1, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
2, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
3, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
4, (Pen),
5, (Pen),
5, (Pen),
6, (Pen),
6, (Pen),

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Central Norte
Argentinian Torneo Federal
29.09.24	Central Norte - Santamarina de Tandil	1:0 ✺
22.09.24	Santamarina de Tandil - Central Norte	0:0 ✺
15.09.24	9 de Julio - Central Norte	0:1 ✺
01.09.24	Central Norte - Sol de América de Formosa	1:0 ✺
25.08.24	Sportivo Las Parejas - Central Norte	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WTWWL
- Sarmiento de La Banda
Argentinian Torneo Federal
29.09.24	Ciudad de Bolívar - Sarmiento de La Banda	0:0 ✺
22.09.24	Sarmiento de La Banda - Ciudad de Bolívar	1:0 ✺
15.09.24	Sarmiento de La Banda - Sol de América de Formosa	1:0 ✺
08.09.24	Sportivo Las Parejas - Sarmiento de La Banda	0:1 ✺
30.08.24	Sarmiento de La Banda - Sportivo Belgrano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
21.07.24	Central Norte - Sarmiento de La Banda	2:0
14.07.24	Sarmiento de La Banda - Central Norte	2:1
15.05.24	Central Norte - Sarmiento de La Banda	1:1

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