Match Info

ARGENTINA: TORNEO FEDERAL - PROMOTION - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 30 October 2022, Sunday


	Sarmiento de Resistencia		Ciudad de Bolívar

	1	X	2
	1.75	3	4.5
	1.73	2.95	5.15
	1.76	3.05	4.7
	1.68	2.99	5.45
	1.75	2.88	5.25
	1.72	2.94	5.65	Watch
	1.8	3.15	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.8)	2.99 ↑ (2.88)	5.07 ↑ (4.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarmiento de Resistencia
51.9%

Draw
30.2%

Ciudad de Bolívar
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

31.2%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

33.3%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarmiento de Resistencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Ciudad de Bolívar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Resistencia than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ciudad de Bolívar than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Sarmiento de Resistencia - Ciudad de Bolívar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches Sarmiento is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ciudad de Bolívar is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sarmiento could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sarmiento is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarmiento de Resistencia
Argentinian Torneo Federal
23.10.22	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Juventud Unida Universitario	1:0 ✺
15.10.22	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	2:2 ✺
09.10.22	General San Martín de Formosa - Sarmiento de Resistencia	1:0 ✺
01.10.22	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Central Norte	1:1 ✺
25.09.22	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Sarmiento de Resistencia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WTLTW
- Club Ciudad de Bolívar
Argentinian Torneo Federal
23.10.22	Ciudad de Bolívar - Douglas Haig	2:0 ✺
16.10.22	Ciudad de Bolívar - Huracán Las Heras	1:1 ✺
09.10.22	Sportivo Peñarol - Ciudad de Bolívar	3:0 ✺
01.10.22	Ciudad de Bolívar - Ferro Gen.Pico	2:0 ✺
25.09.22	Juventud Unida Universitario - Ciudad de Bolívar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WTLWW

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