Match Info

Date: 17 June 2022, Friday


	Sarmiento de Resistencia		Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.2	3.9
	1.78	3.05	4.6
	1.9	3.1	3.85
	1.8	2.98	4.5
	1.88	3	4.2
	1.75	3.25	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.76)	3.1 ↑ (2.88)	4.31 ↑ (4.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarmiento de Resistencia
49.7%

Draw
29.3%

Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

30.1%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

34.1%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarmiento de Resistencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Resistencia than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sarmiento de Resistencia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	23.1%	7.7%

Sarmiento de Resistencia - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Sarmiento will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Def Belgrano VR will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sarmiento: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sarmiento won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Defensores Belgrano VR could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sarmiento is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Sarmiento won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Sarmiento won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarmiento de Resistencia
Argentinian Torneo Federal
12.06.22	Douglas Haig - Sarmiento de Resistencia	0:0 ✺
29.05.22	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Sportivo Belgrano	2:0 ✺
23.05.22	Racing de Córdoba - Sarmiento de Resistencia	1:1 ✺
15.05.22	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	0:0 ✺
11.05.22	Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu - Sarmiento de Resistencia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWTTL
- Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo
Argentinian Torneo Federal
12.06.22	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Sportivo Belgrano	0:2 ✺
05.06.22	Racing de Córdoba - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	2:1 ✺
29.05.22	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	3:1 ✺
22.05.22	Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	1:2 ✺
15.05.22	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Boca Unidos	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
08.08.21	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	4:1
11.04.21	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Sarmiento de Resistencia	2:1
26.01.20	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Sarmiento de Resistencia	0:0
31.08.19	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	2:0
14.04.19	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Sarmiento de Resistencia	3:4
04.03.18	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Sarmiento de Resistencia	2:2

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