Match Info

Torneo Federal - Losers stage - Round 3

Date: 3 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Salomon Boeseldin (Villa Ram)


	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo		Boca Unidos

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.5	4.6
	2.05	2.82	3.65
	2.04	2.9	3.63
	4.83	3.71	1.67	Watch
	2.1	2.86	3.66
	1.61	3.5	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (1.61)	3.22 ↓ (3.5)	3.67 ↓ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo
41.9%

Draw
31%

Boca Unidos
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

25.6%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

26.2%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo's form might have worsened.

Boca Unidos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Boca Unidos's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Unidos than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Boca Unidos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Boca Unidos Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Moracci S. ⚽,
29', 🟨,
32', 🟨,
39', 0 - 2, Moracci S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', 🟨,
77', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Def Belgrano VR won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Def Belgrano VR is the team to beat.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Def Belgrano VR won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Def Belgrano VR won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo
Argentinian Torneo Federal
28.07.25	Bartolomé Mitre - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	2:1 ✺
20.07.25	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Ben Hur	1:1 ✺
13.07.25	El Linqueño - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	0:0 ✺
06.07.25	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	0:1 ✺
29.06.25	Sportivo Belgrano - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LTTLW
- Boca Unidos
Argentinian Torneo Federal
27.07.25	Boca Unidos - Ben Hur	3:0 ✺
20.07.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Boca Unidos	0:3 ✺
12.07.25	Crucero del Norte - Boca Unidos	1:1 ✺
05.07.25	Boca Unidos - Juventud Antoniana	2:2 ✺
27.06.25	Sol de América de Formosa - Boca Unidos	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
24.08.22	Boca Unidos - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	4:1
15.05.22	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Boca Unidos	0:1
16.10.21	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Boca Unidos	1:0
18.07.21	Boca Unidos - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	1:2
13.12.20	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Boca Unidos	1:2
08.03.20	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Boca Unidos	1:0
13.10.19	Boca Unidos - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	2:1

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