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Current Win Probability
Sarpsborg 08 68%
Draw 18.4%
Haugesund 13.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
71.9%
17.5%
10.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
74.4%
16.9%
10.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sarpsborg 08 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
Haugesund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarpsborg 08 than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sarpsborg 08, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haugesund than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
87.5%
12.5%
0%
Sarpsborg 08 - Haugesund Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -2.5 - Sarpsborg (3.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Sarpsborg 08 will win
(21 of 24 users predict this - 87.5%). Confidence interval (95%): 74.27% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sarpsborg 08 will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Sarpsborg (votes: 14 - 82.4%). Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ndiaye M. (G) 32. Wichne E. 2. Koch M. (C) 30. Tebo Uchenna F. 3. Jeahze M. 22. Halvorsen V. E. 8. Christiansen S. 10. Tangen H. 7. Sanyang A. 11. Karlsbakk D. 27. Orjasaeter S.
1. Wichne A. (G) 18. Solheim V. 55. Dia M. 4. Fischer M. 42. Bondhus A. 8. Konradsen M. 16. Leite B. (C) 6. Bizoza P. 37. Innvaer S. 20. Seone I. 21. Eskesen J.
Substitutes
14. Berget J. 19. Gudjohnsen S. 29. Haheim-Elveseter M. 31. Jenssen H. (G) 5. Odegaard M. 23. Sandberg N. 4. Skuseth N. 81. Svenningsen Gronn M. 18. Vestergaard M.
39. Alvsaker M. 29. Diarra S. 25. Hope M. 5. Kukleci I. 2. Niyukuri C. 10. Nyhammer T. 38. Torkildsen J. (G) 66. Traore A.
Coaches
Michelsen C.
Korkeakunnas T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Innvaer S. ⚽,
24', Bizoza P. ↓, Nyhammer T. ↑,
34', Solheim V. ↓, Niyukuri C. ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Seone I. ↓, Diarra S. ↑,
46', 1 - 1, Karlsbakk D. ⚽,
61', Korkeakunnas T. 🟨,
66', Halvorsen V. E. ↓, Vestergaard M. ↑,
66', Sanyang A. ↓, Sandberg N. ↑,
66', Tangen H. ↓, Berget J. ↑,
75', 2 - 1, Karlsbakk D. ⚽, Berget J. (A),
75', Leite B. 🟨,
85', 3 - 1, Karlsbakk D. (Pen),
87', Innvaer S. ↓, Hope M. ↑,
87', Konradsen M. ↓, Alvsaker M. ↑,
89', Tebo Uchenna F. ↓, Skuseth N. ↑,
90', Orjasaeter S. ↓, Haheim-Elveseter M. ↑,
90+1', Berget J. 🟨,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarpsborg won 3.
Sarpsborg has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Haugesund has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Haugesund may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Sarpsborg is the obvious favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sarpsborg won 6 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:19. (average 1.2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Sarpsborg won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:7. (average 1.6:0.7).
Norway
World
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Ndiaye M. (G) 
Wichne E. 
Koch M. (C) 
Tebo Uchenna F. 
Jeahze M. 
Sanyang A. 
Fischer M. 
Leite B. (C) 
Bizoza P. 
Seone I. 
Gudjohnsen S. 
Diarra S. 
Traore A. 
Korkeakunnas T. 
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