Match Info

Date: 11 March 2020, Wednesday


	Sarpsborg 08		Kongsvinger

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.75	4.2
	1.9	3.5	3.4
	1.8	3.6	3.8
	1.75	3.65	3.64
	1.83	3.78	3.83
	1.83	3.72	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.96)	3.67 ↑ (3.4)	3.77 ↑ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarpsborg 08
50.7%

Draw
25%

Kongsvinger
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

26.4%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

18.5%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarpsborg 08 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Kongsvinger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarpsborg 08 than the current prediction. (-18.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sarpsborg 08 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kongsvinger than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kongsvinger could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sarpsborg 08 - Kongsvinger Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarpsborg 08
Club Friendly
04.03.20	Sarpsborg 08 - Strømmen	5:1 ✺
26.02.20	Sarpsborg 08 - Torpedo Moscow	2:2 ✺
21.02.20	Orenburg - Sarpsborg 08	1:1 ✺
14.02.20	Sarpsborg 08 - Häcken	2:0 ✺
08.02.20	Sarpsborg 08 - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WTTWT
- Kongsvinger IL Toppfotball
Club Friendly
06.03.20	Skeid - Kongsvinger	0:2 ✺
29.02.20	Kongsvinger - Mjøndalen	4:1 ✺
28.02.20	Kongsvinger - Elverum	1:3 ✺
24.02.20	Kongsvinger - Moss	5:1 ✺
12.02.20	Molde - Kongsvinger	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
13.03.19	Sarpsborg 08 - Kongsvinger	5:0
26.03.18	Sarpsborg 08 - Kongsvinger	3:1
Norwegian NM Cup
31.05.17	Kongsvinger - Sarpsborg 08	0:4
Club Friendly
10.02.17	Sarpsborg 08 - Kongsvinger	2:0

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