Match Info

1. Lig - Round 20

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Yusuf Ziya Onis (Istanbul)

Referee: Akarsu A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Sarıyer		Igdirspor

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.25	2.4	Watch
	2.72	3.19	2.43
	2.71	3.38	2.47	Watch
	2.75	3.1	2.45
	2.64	3.14	2.42
	2.75	3.25	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↓ (2.92)	3.22 ↓ (3.31)	2.43 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarıyer
34%

Draw
28.4%

Igdirspor
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

27.6%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

26.5%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarıyer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Igdirspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarıyer than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Igdirspor than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Igdirspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Sarıyer - Igdirspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sarıyer will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Igdirspor will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Igdirspor (1.72) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB - Sarıyer (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Sarıyer (votes: 1 - 25%). Igdirspor (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
97. Akyuz F. (G) 77. Karayel C. 14. Mert M. 3. Djilobodji P. 19. Bayram O. 28. Yesilyurt H. E. 70. Camara M. 88. Silva M. 7. Regattin A. 90. Eze E. 10. Anziani J.	54. Tepe T. (G) 58. Kaya G. 35. Cankaya A. R. 86. Bekaroglu B. 77. Vural G. 6. Guctekin O. K. 20. Mendes R. 7. Fofana M. 21. Erdogan D. 8. Bacuna L. 9. Bruno G.
Substitutes
17. Aydogmus B. 23. Bayram M. (G) 13. Berber O. 76. Korkmaz H. (G) 5. Korkmazoglu E. 2. Kurucuk F. 4. Ozer F. 48. Sol O. 6. Traore H. 22. Yilmaz O.	61. Asan S. 26. Bolat S. (G) 17. Engin A. 23. Guneren A. K. 55. Koita F. 5. Ozturk A. 11. Rotariu D. 4. Selvi A. 27. Suarez A. 3. Tsunami
Coaches
Cetin S.	Uzulmez I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Bruno G. 🟥,
38', Bekaroglu B. ↓, Ozturk A. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', Yesilyurt H. E. ↓, Traore H. ↑,
67', Anziani J. ↓, Korkmazoglu E. ↑,
72', Bacuna L. ↓, Koita F. ↑,
85', Mendes R. ↓, Engin A. ↑,
85', Fofana M. ↓, Rotariu D. ↑,
88', 1 - 0, Silva M. ⚽, Camara M. (A),
90+1', Regattin A. ↓, Kurucuk F. ↑,
90+1', Camara M. ↓, Yilmaz O. ↑,
90+4', Bayram O. ↓, Berber O. ↑,
90+5', Silva M. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Igdirspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There are questionable in Sarıyer: Berber O. (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sarıyer won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Sarıyer won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Igdir FK	8	5	1	2	12:7	5	16
5	Sariyer	8	4	2	2	11:9	2	14

Last Results with these Odds

Igdirspor - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 41.21%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarıyer
Turkish First League
27.12.25	Sarıyer - Bodrumspor	1:0 ✺
19.12.25	Erokspor - Sarıyer	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Sarıyer - İstanbulspor	1:2 ✺
08.12.25	Hatayspor - Sarıyer	0:3 ✺
Turkish Cup
03.12.25	İstanbulspor - Sarıyer	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WTLWL
- Igdirspor
Turkish First League
28.12.25	Amed SK - Igdirspor	3:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
24.12.25	Igdirspor - Aliaga	2:2 ✺
Turkish First League
20.12.25	Igdirspor - Sivasspor	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Pendikspor - Igdirspor	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Igdirspor - Adana Demirspor	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
09.08.25	Igdirspor - Sarıyer	2:1
Turkish Second League Red Group
10.03.24	Sarıyer - Igdirspor	0:0
28.10.23	Igdirspor - Sarıyer	2:1

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