The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sassari Torres 43.4%
Draw 30.1%
Pineto 26.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.8%
29.7%
34.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35%
29%
35.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sassari Torres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sassari Torres's performance.
Pineto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pineto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sassari Torres than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sassari Torres that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pineto than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pineto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sassari Torres - Pineto Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Zaccagno A. (G) 14. Idda R. 23. Antonelli N. 30. Fabriani C. 27. Zambataro E. 10. Mastinu G. 24. Giorico D. 16. Sala M. 70. Starita E. 9. Musso A. 7. Di Stefano L.
22. Tonti A. (G) 23. Serbouti A. 4. Postiglione N. 52. Frare D. 21. Lombardi L. 5. Schirone L. 8. Germinario G. 3. Ienco S. 32. Mastropietro F. 10. Bruzzaniti G. 9. D'Andrea F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Postiglione N. 🟨,
10', Giorico D. 🟨,
17', Ienco S. 🟨,
27', Starita E. 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Mastropietro F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Serbouti A. 🟨,
51', 1 - 1, Musso A. ⚽,
60', Giorico D. ↓, Brentan M. ↑,
60', Starita E. ↓, Lunghi A. ↑,
65', Mastropietro F. ↓, Pellegrino A. ↑,
66', Ienco S. ↓, Borsoi M. ↑,
75', Musso A. ↓, Diakite A. ↑,
75', Di Stefano L. ↓, Masala A. ↑,
81', Germinario G. 🟨,
90+2', Schirone L. ↓, Nebuloso G. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
Torres is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Pineto has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Pineto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Torres is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torres won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Torres won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Pineto - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 34.48%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Italy
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Zaccagno A. (G) 
Serbouti A. 
