The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sassari Torres 38.2%
Draw 32.2%
Perugia 29.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.8%
31.2%
29%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.3%
30.1%
27.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sassari Torres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sassari Torres than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Sassari Torres - Perugia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Zaccagno A. (G) 14. Idda R. 23. Antonelli N. 3. Mercadante M. 16. Sala M. 4. Brentan M. 10. Mastinu G. (C) 27. Zambataro E. 7. Di Stefano L. 11. Diakite A. 70. Starita E.
1. Gemello L. (G) 26. Calapai L. 28. Riccardi D. 5. Angella G. 31. Tozzuolo A. 20. Tumbarello G. 24. Torrasi E. 32. Megelaitis L. 6. Giunti G. 11. Bacchin L. 9. Montevago D.
Substitutes
5. Biagetti C. 25. Bonin L. 21. Carboni M. 26. Dumani S. 30. Fabriani C. 24. Giorico D. 32. Lattanzio A. 20. Lunghi A. 22. Marano M. (G) 8. Masala A. 9. Musso A. 6. Nunziatini F. 1. Petriccione D. (G) 73. Stivanello R.
21. Broh J. 15. Dell'Orco C. 30. Giardino C. 98. Giraudo F. 4. Joselito 7. Kanoute M. 12. Moro L. (G) 29. Ogunseye R. 17. Terrnava D. 22. Vinti L. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Starita E. ⚽,
45+2', Starita E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', Antonelli N. 🟨,
55', 1 - 1, Brentan M. (Own goal),
65', Bacchin L. ↓, Kanoute M. ↑,
69', Di Stefano L. ↓, Lunghi A. ↑,
69', Mastinu G. ↓, Giorico D. ↑,
72', Diakite A. ↓, Musso A. ↑,
81', Tozzuolo A. 🟨,
83', Starita E. ↓, Fabriani C. ↑,
83', Giunti G. ↓, Joselito ↑,
85', Musso A. 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
Torres has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Perugia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Torres won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Torres won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).