Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 15

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Comunale Riviera delle Palme (San Benedetto del Tronto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia


	Sambenedettese		Pineto

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	2.98	2.88
	2.44	3.09	2.91	Watch
	2.48	2.73	3.01	Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.44)	2.93 ↓ (3.09)	2.93 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sambenedettese
37.2%

Draw
31.4%

Pineto
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

30%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

30.3%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sambenedettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Pineto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pineto than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Sambenedettese - Pineto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Cultraro G. (G) 15. Zoboletti A. 4. Zini A. 21. Dalmazzi A. 14. Tosi F. 18. Candellori K. 24. Alfieri V. 7. Marranzino P. 23. Toure M. 47. Konate A. 9. Eusepi U.	22. Tonti A. (G) 17. Baggi F. 4. Postiglione N. 52. Frare D. 11. Borsoi M. 21. Lombardi L. 8. Germinario G. 5. Schirone L. 99. Pellegrino A. 10. Bruzzaniti G. 9. D'Andrea F.
Substitutes
11. Battista N. 5. Chelli M. 32. Chiatante F. 12. Grillo M. (G) 6. Lulli L. 70. Martins K. 30. Napolitano L. 17. Pezzola L. 34. Ponzanetti M. (G) 10. Sbaffo A. 90. Scafetta F. 94. Tataranni F. 19. Vesprini R.	6. Amadio S. 55. Capomaggio T. 16. Gagliardi L. 3. Ienco S. 1. Marone F. (G) 7. Marrancone A. 32. Mastropietro F. 28. Nebuloso G. 25. Saccomanni G. 23. Serbouti A. 12. Verna A. (G) 18. Viero F. 24. Vigliotti G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Pellegrino A. 🟨,
36', Dalmazzi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 0 - 1, Bruzzaniti G. ⚽,
64', Toure M. ↓, Sbaffo A. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Candellori K. ⚽,
70', Pellegrino A. ↓, Mastropietro F. ↑,
75', Candellori K. ↓, Lulli L. ↑,
87', Lombardi L. ↓, Vigliotti G. ↑,
87', Eusepi U. ↓, Battista N. ↑,
87', Zoboletti A. ↓, Pezzola L. ↑,
90+3', Schirone L. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 14 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Sambenedettese has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Pineto is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sambenedettese won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sambenedettese won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Sambenedettese - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 38.05%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Pineto - the odds 2.91 are the expected chance of winning is 31.9%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sambenedettese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
15.11.25	Sambenedettese - Ternana	0:0 ✺
07.11.25	Campobasso - Sambenedettese	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Sambenedettese - Guidonia Montecelio	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
29.10.25	Sambenedettese - Ascoli	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
26.10.25	Ascoli - Sambenedettese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TTLWL
- ASD Pineto Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
15.11.25	Pineto - Carpi	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Bra - Pineto	1:2 ✺
01.11.25	Pineto - Pianese	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Forlì - Pineto	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Pineto - Perugia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
12.02.23	Pineto - Sambenedettese	0:0
09.10.22	Sambenedettese - Pineto	0:3
22.05.22	Pineto - Sambenedettese	1:2
23.01.22	Sambenedettese - Pineto	0:0

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