Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 14

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Mimmo Pavone-Alessandro Mariani (Pineto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia


	Pineto		Carpi

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	2.02	3.05	3.7
	2.11	2.9	4.05
	2.05	3.20	3.60	Watch
	2.01	2.95	3.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 (2.05)	3.03 ↓ (3.2)	3.78 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pineto
45.1%

Draw
30.5%

Carpi
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

29%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

28.3%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pineto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Carpi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pineto than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Pineto - Carpi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Tonti A. (G) 17. Baggi F. 23. Serbouti A. 52. Frare D. 11. Borsoi M. 21. Lombardi L. 8. Germinario G. 28. Nebuloso G. 99. Pellegrino A. 10. Bruzzaniti G. 9. D'Andrea F.	22. Scacchetti A. (G) 4. Zagnoni D. 6. Panelli T. 19. Rossini M. 16. Tcheuna R. 5. Figoli M. 29. Rosetti M. 7. Cecotti T. 11. Casarini F. 72. Cortesi M. (C) 10. Stanzani L.
Substitutes
6. Amadio S. 77. Boccacci F. 55. Capomaggio T. 16. Gagliardi L. 3. Ienco S. 1. Marone F. (G) 7. Marrancone A. 39. Sabatelli 25. Saccomanni G. 24. Vigliotti G.	8. Amayah P. 70. Arcopinto A. 20. Forte R. 9. Gerbi E. 17. Lombardi L. 90. Perta A. A. (G) 80. Pietra N. 33. Pitti E. 23. Sall A. 1. Sorzi M. (G) 2. Verza N. 77. Visani R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Bruzzaniti G. ⚽,
23', Panelli T. ↓, Pitti E. ↑,
40', Nebuloso G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tcheuna R. ↓, Sall A. ↑,
62', 🟨,
69', Nebuloso G. ↓, Amadio S. ↑,
69', Stanzani L. ↓, Gerbi E. ↑,
85', Borsoi M. ↓, Ienco S. ↑,
85', Pellegrino A. ↓, Vigliotti G. ↑,
86', Cecotti T. ↓, Forte R. ↑,
90+1', D'Andrea F. ↓, Marrancone A. ↑,
90+2', Germinario G. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Pineto is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Carpi has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Carpi has had a series of home games.

Pineto might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Pineto won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Pineto won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Pineto Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
08.11.25	Bra - Pineto	1:2 ✺
01.11.25	Pineto - Pianese	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Forlì - Pineto	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Pineto - Perugia	3:0 ✺
11.10.25	Pineto - Livorno	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WTTWW
- Carpi FC
Italian Serie C Group B
09.11.25	Carpi - Livorno	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Sassari Torres - Carpi	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
28.10.25	Carpi - Brescia	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
25.10.25	Carpi - Gubbio	0:3 ✺
20.10.25	Carpi - Ascoli	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
15.03.25	Carpi - Pineto	1:1
03.11.24	Pineto - Carpi	1:4

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