Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 - Round 11

Date: 6 June 2026, Saturday


	Saturn Ramenskoye		Zenit Penza

	1	X	2
	1.27	4.40	11.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.6)	4.4 ↑ (3.5)	11.6 ↑ (5.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saturn Ramenskoye
71.5%

Draw
20.6%

Zenit Penza
7.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

25.9%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

24.8%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saturn Ramenskoye has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Saturn Ramenskoye's performance.

Zenit Penza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zenit Penza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saturn Ramenskoye than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Saturn Ramenskoye that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zenit Penza than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zenit Penza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Saturn Ramenskoye - Zenit Penza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
78', 1 - 0, Gejtman N. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saturn won 2.

Saturn has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Zenit Penza's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Saturn has had a series of home games.

In this match, Saturn is the clear favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Saturn won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.6:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Saturn won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:7. (average 1.7:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Saturn Ramenskoye	26	14	6	6	48:35	13	48
12	Penza	26	7	4	15	25:48	-23	25

Last Results with these Odds

Saturn Ramenskoye - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 56.74%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Saturn Ramenskoye
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
30.05.26	Saturn Ramenskoye - Ryazan	0:0 ✺
24.05.26	Saturn Ramenskoye - Arsenal 2 Tula	2:1 ✺
16.05.26	Saturn Ramenskoye - Rotor 2	0:1 ✺
08.05.26	Saturn Ramenskoye - Strogino Moskva	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Saturn Ramenskoye - Kvant Obninsk	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TWLTW
- Zenit Penza
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
31.05.26	Arsenal 2 Tula - Zenit Penza	1:1 ✺
23.05.26	Zenit Penza - Strogino Moskva	1:0 ✺
15.05.26	SKA Khabarovsk 2 - Zenit Penza	5:0 ✺
08.05.26	Zenit Penza - Shumbrat Saransk	1:3 ✺
02.05.26	Spartak Tambov - Zenit Penza	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 3
29.07.23	Zenit Penza - Saturn Ramenskoye	1:4
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
19.10.22	Saturn Ramenskoye - Zenit Penza	3:0
14.08.22	Zenit Penza - Saturn Ramenskoye	2:2
07.05.22	Saturn Ramenskoye - Zenit Penza	0:5
03.04.22	Zenit Penza - Saturn Ramenskoye	3:1
Russian PFL Center
30.09.17	Zenit Penza - Saturn Ramenskoye	1:0
21.05.17	Saturn Ramenskoye - Zenit Penza	2:2

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