Match Info

Serie D - Group I - Round 29

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday


	Savoia		Ragusa

	1	X	2
	1.39	3.9	7.3
	1.38	4.12	7.26
	1.4	4.12	7.44	Watch
	1.4	3.75	7.5
	1.5	3.75	7.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.49)	3.93 ↑ (3.73)	7.36 ↑ (6.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Savoia
64.4%

Draw
23.2%

Ragusa
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

24.3%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

23.6%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Savoia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Ragusa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Savoia than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ragusa than the current prediction. (+2%)

Savoia - Ragusa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Guida M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 2 - 0, Guida M. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: ) and 12).

Savoia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ragusa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ragusa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Savoia is the clear favorite.

We predict that Savoia will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Savoia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	USD Ragusa	6	0	2	4	4:9	-5	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Savoia
Italian Serie D - Group I
15.03.26	Savoia - Gelbison Cilento	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Vibonese - Savoia	0:2 ✺
22.02.26	Savoia - Nissa	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Castrumfavara - Savoia	1:3 ✺
08.02.26	Savoia - Sambiase	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TWTWW
- Ragusa Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
22.03.26	Ragusa - Vigor Lamezia	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Ragusa - Vibonese	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Milazzo - Ragusa	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Ragusa - Castrumfavara	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Gelbison Cilento - Ragusa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 35.4 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
16.11.25	Ragusa - Savoia	3:2

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