Match Info

Serie D - Group I - Round 34

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday


	Savoia		Sancataldese

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.33	6.5
	1.42	4.05	6.3
	1.43	4.08	6.67	Watch
	1.4	4.15	6.83
	1.3	4.35	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.3)	4.19 ↓ (4.35)	6.86 ↓ (8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Savoia
65.3%

Draw
21.6%

Sancataldese
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.4%

20.5%

11.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.6%

19.1%

10.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Savoia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Sancataldese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Savoia than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Savoia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sancataldese than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Savoia - Sancataldese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Dani Munoz ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
72', 2 - 0, ⚽,
72', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Savoia has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Sancataldese has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Savoia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Savoia is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Savoia will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Savoia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Savoia
Italian Serie D - Group I
26.04.26	Athletic Palermo - Savoia	1:3 ✺
19.04.26	Savoia - Igea Virtus Barcellona	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Vigor Lamezia - Savoia	1:2 ✺
02.04.26	Savoia - ACR Messina	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Savoia - Ragusa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWWW
- Sancataldese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
19.04.26	Ragusa - Sancataldese	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Sancataldese - Gelbison Cilento	0:1 ✺
02.04.26	Vibonese - Sancataldese	1:1 ✺
29.03.26	Sancataldese - Nissa	1:5 ✺
22.03.26	Castrumfavara - Sancataldese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
21.12.25	Sancataldese - Savoia	3:1

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