Match Info

Serie D - Winners stage - Round 3

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday


	Scafatese		Barletta

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.52	4.45
	2.12	2.46	4.67	Watch
	1.83	3.28	4
	1.93	2.68	4.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.97)	2.74 ↓ (2.85)	4.46 ↑ (4.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Scafatese
46.1%

Draw
33.4%

Barletta
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

32.1%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

30.2%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Scafatese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Barletta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scafatese than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barletta than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Scafatese - Barletta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Maggio D. 🟥,
45+1', Giambuzzi E. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
75', 1 - 0, Acquadro A. (Penalty Awarded),
76', 1 - 1, Guadalupi L. ⚽,

Preview

Scafatese is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Barletta has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Barletta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Scafatese is a strong favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Scafatese - the odds 1.97 are the expected chance of winning is 46.48%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Scafatese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group A
13.05.26	Savoia - Scafatese	1:4 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group G
12.04.26	Scafatese - Olbia	4:1 ✺
02.04.26	Trastevere - Scafatese	3:2 ✺
29.03.26	Ischia Isolaverde - Scafatese	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Scafatese - Monastir	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWLWW
- Barletta
Italian Serie D - Group A
10.05.26	Barletta - Savoia	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group H
03.05.26	Nardo - Barletta	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Heraclea - Barletta	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Barletta - Città di Fasano	3:2 ✺
02.04.26	Nola - Barletta	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLLWW

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