Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 9

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Raffaele Guariglia (Agropoli) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Di Reda A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	14:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Scafatese		Sorrento

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.10	3.25
	2.17	3.00	3.00
	2.11	3.20	3.83
	2.37	3.06	2.95	Watch
	2.07	3.15	3.55
	2.09	3.24	3.55	Watch
	2.08	3.10	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.56)	3.12 (3.12)	3.35 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Scafatese
43.1%

Draw
29.5%

Sorrento
27.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.9%

29.5%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

29.8%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Scafatese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Scafatese's performance.

Sorrento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sorrento might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Scafatese than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Scafatese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sorrento than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sorrento could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Scafatese - Sorrento Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Forte F. (G) 35. Novella M. 20. Scognamiglio M. 13. Bacchetti L. 99. Ferrara A. 15. Tripi F. 25. Toscano M. 5. Proia F. 27. Palmieri C. 7. Volpicelli E. (C) 90. Emmausso M.	22. Harrasser S. (G) 33. Viscardi A. 6. Fusco F. 27. Loreto C. 32. Paglino S. 8. Cuccurullo M. (C) 28. Capezzi L. 21. Potenza A. 3. Crecco L. 7. Starita E. 19. Bolzan A.
Substitutes
1. Becchi G. (G) 23. Brunet J. 98. De Chiara E. 8. Esposito A. 55. Guerra V. 91. Longo S. 10. Lucas Dambros 28. Molinaro S. 11. Ortisi P. 6. Suhs J. 32. Terribili C.	4. Bacci J. 48. Boccarusso J. (G) 5. Cargnelutti R. 31. Castaldi G. 13. Del Sorbo L. (G) 26. Di Somma V. 24. Evangelisti N. 11. Falasca M. 9. Parker S. 2. Puzone M. 10. Ricci F.
Coaches
Facciolo M.	Maiuri V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Palmieri C. ⚽, Volpicelli E. (A),
12', 2 - 0, Emmausso M. ⚽, Volpicelli E. (A),
28', Cuccurullo M. 🟨,
32', 3 - 0, Palmieri C. ⚽, Emmausso M. (A),
45+4', Potenza A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Paglino S. ↓, Bacci J. ↑,
46', Potenza A. ↓, Ricci F. ↑,
58', Volpicelli E. ↓, Lucas Dambros ↑,
58', Bolzan A. ↓, Parker S. ↑,
73', Tripi F. ↓, Esposito A. ↑,
73', Ferrara A. ↓, Guerra V. ↑,
73', Cuccurullo M. ↓, Falasca M. ↑,
81', Emmausso M. ↓, Longo S. ↑,
81', Palmieri C. ↓, Ortisi P. ↑,
87', 3 - 1, Parker S. ⚽, Ricci F. (A),
88', Loreto C. ↓, Castaldi G. ↑,
90+8', 3 - 2, Ricci F. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 12th and 3rd in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/8 - finals)).

Scafatese has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Performances by Sorrento have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Sorrento may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Sorrento	11	6	2	3	15:11	4	20
8	Scafatese	11	4	5	2	17:15	2	17

Last Results with these Odds

Sorrento - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 34.58%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Scafatese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
27.09.26	Scafatese - Altamura	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Nuova Cosenza - Scafatese	1:1 ✺
15.09.26	Scafatese - Monopoli	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Catania - Scafatese	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Casertana - Scafatese	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.8 WTTWT
- Sorrento FC
Italian Serie C Group C
03.10.26	Sorrento - Casarano	2:0 ✺
27.09.26	Foggia - Sorrento	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Sorrento - Bari	1:2 ✺
15.09.26	Cavese - Sorrento	2:3 ✺
12.09.26	Sorrento - Picerno	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLLWW

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