Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 18

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Scandicci		Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.1	3.5
	1.95	3.1	3.55
	1.92	3.2	3.85	Watch
	1.95	3	3.6
	1.98	3.31	3.83
	1.9	3.2	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.34)	3.15 ↓ (3.38)	3.69 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Scandicci
46.6%

Draw
28.8%

Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

26.7%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

26.2%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Scandicci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Scandicci's performance.

Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Scandicci than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Scandicci that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Scandicci - Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Scandicci (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Scandicci (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Arrighini A. (Penalty Awarded),
22', 2 - 0, Valori M. ⚽,
34', 3 - 0, Boganini L. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
76', 4 - 0, Valori M. ⚽,
80', 5 - 0, Dodaro N. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: ) and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )).

Recent performances by Scandicci have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sansepolcro has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Scandicci could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Scandicci	6	3	2	1	10:5	5	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Scandicci Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group E
21.12.25	Scandicci - Poggibonsi	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Follonica Gavorrano - Scandicci	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Scandicci - Cannara	2:0 ✺
30.11.25	Scandicci - Orvietana	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Tau Altopascio - Scandicci	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TLWTT
- Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
Italian Serie D - Group E
21.12.25	Camaiore - Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro - Orvietana	2:2 ✺
07.12.25	Trestina - Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro - Grosseto	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Montevarchi - Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TTLLT

Scandicci - Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide