Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 14

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday


	Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro		Grosseto

	1	X	2
	6.9	3.85	1.41
	7.17	4.07	1.39
	4.60	3.60	1.67	Watch
	7.95	3.74	1.41
	7.5	4	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.82 ↑ (3.55)	3.85 ↑ (3.55)	1.46 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
13.4%

Draw
23.8%

Grosseto
62.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro's form might have worsened.

Grosseto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Grosseto's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grosseto than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Grosseto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro - Grosseto Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Benedetti L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Sansepolcro is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Grosseto is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Grosseto is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sansepolcro won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Including home match between the teams, Sansepolcro won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro - the odds 3.55 are the expected chance of winning is 25.31%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
Italian Serie D - Group E
23.11.25	Montevarchi - Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro - Foligno	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Seravezza Pozzi - Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro - Ghiviborgo	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	San Donato Tavarnelle - Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWLLL
- FC Grosseto
Italian Serie D - Group E
23.11.25	Grosseto - Siena	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Follonica Gavorrano - Grosseto	2:4 ✺
09.11.25	Grosseto - Terranuova Traiana	4:0 ✺
02.11.25	Scandicci - Grosseto	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	Grosseto - Poggibonsi	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
07.01.24	Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro - Grosseto	0:0
10.09.23	Grosseto - Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro	4:0

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