Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 15

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday


	Trestina		Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.1	3.75
	1.8	3.25	4.1
	1.83	3.35	4.02	Watch
	1.85	2.9	4
	1.85	3.18	4.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.25)	3.16 ↓ (3.31)	3.98 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trestina
48.8%

Draw
28.6%

Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

27.6%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

26.4%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trestina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Trestina's performance.

Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trestina than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Trestina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Trestina - Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Trestina (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
86', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )).

Trestina is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sansepolcro has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Trestina might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trestina won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Trestina won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Trestina
Italian Serie D - Group E
30.11.25	Follonica Gavorrano - Trestina	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Trestina - Terranuova Traiana	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Scandicci - Trestina	2:2 ✺
09.11.25	Trestina - Poggibonsi	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Orvietana - Trestina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TTTWW
- Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
Italian Serie D - Group E
30.11.25	Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro - Grosseto	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Montevarchi - Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro - Foligno	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Seravezza Pozzi - Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro - Ghiviborgo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
10.03.24	Trestina - Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro	3:1
01.11.23	Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro - Trestina	1:2
Italian Serie D - Group D
24.03.18	Trestina - Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro	0:0
Italian Serie D - Group G
25.02.17	Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro - Trestina	2:2
24.10.16	Trestina - Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro	0:0

Trestina - Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide