Match Info

National League North - Round 7

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Mounting Systems Stadium (Bridlington)


	Scarborough Athletic		AFC Telford United

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.60	3.40
	1.87	3.40	3.40
	2.06	3.20	3.10
	1.93	3.67	3.65
	1.94	3.68	3.55	Watch
	1.90	3.60	3.60
	1.88	3.44	3.61
	1.92	3.50	3.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.86)	3.51 ↓ (3.62)	3.46 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Scarborough Athletic
47.6%

Draw
26%

AFC Telford United
26.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.6%

25.1%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

24.8%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Scarborough Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

AFC Telford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scarborough Athletic than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Telford United than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Scarborough Athletic - AFC Telford United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
78', 0 - 1, Stenson M. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 9 and 24 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Scarborough have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Telford is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Telford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Scarborough could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Scarborough won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 0.8:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Scarborough won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Scarborough	12	4	3	5	18:16	2	15
21	AFC Telford	12	3	3	6	11:18	-7	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Scarborough Athletic
English National League North
31.08.26	King`s Lynn Town - Scarborough Athletic	3:1 ✺
29.08.26	Scarborough Athletic - Southport	5:1 ✺
22.08.26	Chorley - Scarborough Athletic	2:1 ✺
18.08.26	Scarborough Athletic - Spennymoor Town	3:0 ✺
15.08.26	Hednesford Town - Scarborough Athletic	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWLWW
- AFC Telford United
English National League North
31.08.26	AFC Telford United - Bedford Town	0:1 ✺
28.08.26	Morecambe - AFC Telford United	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	AFC Telford United - Hednesford Town	1:1 ✺
18.08.26	Merthyr Town - AFC Telford United	2:2 ✺
15.08.26	Worksop Town - AFC Telford United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
14.03.26	Scarborough Athletic - AFC Telford United	1:1
18.10.25	AFC Telford United - Scarborough Athletic	4:1
22.04.23	AFC Telford United - Scarborough Athletic	1:1
22.10.22	Scarborough Athletic - AFC Telford United	1:0
English FA Trophy
16.11.13	AFC Telford United - Scarborough Athletic	6:0

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