Match Info

National League North - Round 6

Date: 31 August 2026, Monday

Location: New Bucks Head (Telford)


	AFC Telford United		Bedford Town

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.6	3.3
	1.82	3.50	3.50
	1.88	3.5	3.45
	1.91	4.19	3.53
	1.88	4.1	3.4	Watch
	1.86	4.1	3.35
	1.93	3.79	3.48
	1.88	3.6	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.74)	3.8 ↑ (3.5)	3.43 ↓ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Telford United
49%

Draw
24.2%

Bedford Town
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

25.6%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

25.4%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Telford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Bedford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Telford United than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bedford Town than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

AFC Telford United - Bedford Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Telford will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Moncur G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Telford is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Bedford's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Bedford has had a series of home games.

Telford will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Telford won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:10. (average 3:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Telford won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 3.7:1.7).

Outrights of English National League North for now

Bedford: 2.14%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Bedford	10	5	1	4	14:14	0	16
21	AFC Telford	10	2	3	5	8:15	-7	9

Last Results with these Odds

AFC Telford United - the odds 1.74 are the expected chance of winning is 51.46%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Telford United
English National League North
28.08.26	Morecambe - AFC Telford United	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	AFC Telford United - Hednesford Town	1:1 ✺
18.08.26	Merthyr Town - AFC Telford United	2:2 ✺
15.08.26	Worksop Town - AFC Telford United	2:1 ✺
08.08.26	AFC Telford United - Brackley Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LTTLL
- Bedford Town
English National League North
29.08.26	Bedford Town - Spennymoor Town	3:1 ✺
22.08.26	Southport - Bedford Town	4:1 ✺
18.08.26	Bedford Town - Buxton	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Bedford Town - Darlington	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Bedford Town - Walton & Hersham	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
28.03.26	AFC Telford United - Bedford Town	2:2
19.08.25	Bedford Town - AFC Telford United	3:1
English Southern League Central Division
28.01.25	AFC Telford United - Bedford Town	6:2
11.01.25	Bedford Town - AFC Telford United	2:3
English FA Cup
22.09.18	AFC Telford United - Bedford Town	3:1

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