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Current Win Probability
Schaffhausen 19.8%
Draw 21.1%
Thun 59.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
13.8%
18.4%
67.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
14.6%
17.4%
64.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Schaffhausen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Schaffhausen's performance.
Thun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Thun might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schaffhausen than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Schaffhausen that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thun than the current prediction. (+5%)
Schaffhausen - Thun Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
34. De Nitti G. (G) 21. Wetz N. 5. Soro B. 4. Schuler F. 3. Lenjani E. 14. Gloor F. 8. Rizvic A. 80. Saliji R. 10. Del Toro D. (C) 11. Odutayo C. 97. Chiappetta C.
25. Spycher T. (G) 37. Dahler L. 54. Passavant L. 5. Burgy N. (C) 18. Strannegard T. 16. Roth J. 13. Zoukit N. 70. Reichmuth N. 15. Kristal P. 80. Lengen S. 26. Christoffersson N.
Substitutes
22. Ajeti Ad. 17. Campos A. 16. Gegaj S. 19. Hanke M. 6. Kadima D. 78. Kralovec D. 20. Kujovic A. 47. Rutigliano S. (G) 12. Volkart D.
20. Braschi R. 21. Derbaci D. 9. Dursun F. 47. Fehr F. 52. Ilic A. 14. Kait M. 30. Maier N. 2. Mambwa O. 1. Steffen N. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Gloor F. ↓, Hanke M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Odutayo C. 🟨,
49', 1 - 0, Chiappetta C. ⚽,
62', Del Toro D. ↓, Volkart D. ↑,
62', Odutayo C. ↓, Campos A. ↑,
62', Zoukit N. ↓, Dursun F. ↑,
62', Lengen S. ↓, Maier N. ↑,
71', Christoffersson N. ↓, Braschi R. ↑,
71', Reichmuth N. ↓, Fehr F. ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Dursun F. (Penalty Awarded),
74', Saliji R. (Penalty Awarded),
80', Lenjani E. ↓, Gegaj S. ↑,
80', Chiappetta C. ↓, Kadima D. ↑,
81', Hanke M. 🟨,
90+3', Passavant L. 🟨,
Extra Time (1 - 1)
93', 1 - 2, Braschi R. (Penalty Awarded),
120', 🟨,
120', 2 - 2, Volkart D. ⚽,
Penalties (7 - 8)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Schaffhausen won 0.
Schaffhausen has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Performances by Thun have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Schaffhausen could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, Thun enters as the overwhelming favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Schaffhausen has recorded 6 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:36 (averaging 1.4:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Schaffhausen against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 14:14 goals (averaging 1.4:1.4 per game).