Match Info

Super League - Round 10

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Letzigrund Stadion (Zürich)

Referee: Qovanaj H. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 6
Switzerland	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1


	Zürich		Thun

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.70	2.65	Watch
	2.40	3.75	2.55
	2.50	3.75	2.45
	2.45	4.05	2.78
	2.59	3.87	2.45	Watch
	2.40	3.75	2.75
	2.36	3.67	2.68	Watch
	2.38	3.70	2.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.72)	3.78 ↓ (3.98)	2.61 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zürich
38.9%

Draw
25%

Thun
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

23.8%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

23.7%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zürich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Thun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Thun might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zürich than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thun than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Thun could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Zürich - Thun Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Zürich will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Thun will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Huber S. (G) 47. Lichtenstein D. 2. Kamberi L. (C) 21. Schodler L. 43. Volken N. 23. Berisha V. 17. Spadanuda K. 38. Reichmuth M. 7. Krasniqi B. 11. Emmanuel U. 19. Keny P. P.	1. Steffen N. (G) 47. Fehr F. 5. Burgy N. 19. Bamert J. (C) 18. Strannegard T. 30. Maier N. 16. Roth J. 13. Zoukit N. 52. Ilic A. 80. Lengen S. 9. Dursun F.
Substitutes
18. Bangoura M. 8. Comenencia L. 14. Di Giusto N. 6. Fiorini C. 42. Hack A. 13. Lindner H. (G) 49. Ramic D. 4. Segura J. 46. Stiel J.	17. Balaruban A. 20. Braschi R. 26. Christoffersson N. 37. Dahler L. 21. Derbaci D. 2. Mambwa O. 54. Passavant L. 70. Reichmuth N. 25. Spycher T. (G)
Coaches
Koller M.	Privitelli G. L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Lengen S. ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Spadanuda K. ⚽, Emmanuel U. (A),
37', 2 - 1, Krasniqi B. ⚽,
40', Ilic A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', Lengen S. 🟨,
57', Lengen S. ↓, Christoffersson N. ↑,
57', Ilic A. ↓, Reichmuth N. ↑,
64', 3 - 1, Lichtenstein D. ⚽, Spadanuda K. (A),
67', Bamert J. 🟥,
73', Maier N. ↓, Derbaci D. ↑,
73', Dursun F. ↓, Braschi R. ↑,
77', 4 - 1, Keny P. P. ⚽, Lichtenstein D. (A),
78', Reichmuth M. ↓, Di Giusto N. ↑,
82', Zoukit N. ↓, Passavant L. ↑,
85', Keny P. P. ↓, Ramic D. ↑,
85', Krasniqi B. ↓, Stiel J. ↑,
85', Spadanuda K. ↓, Bangoura M. ↑,
87', Schodler L. ↓, Segura J. ↑,
90', 4 - 2, Derbaci D. ⚽, Fehr F. (A),

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 7th in the Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 9th in the Super League (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zürich won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Zürich could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for Zürich: Hack A. (Muscle Injury) Hodza S. (Muscle Injury) Kablan C. (Knee Injury) Morozov Y. (Muscle Injury) Reverson D. (Knee Injury) Sauter I. (Foot Injury) Walker S. (Knock).

Confirmed absences for Thun: Gutbub M. (Knock) Montolio G. (Knee Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Zürich has recorded 9 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 34:34 (averaging 1.7:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Zürich against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 20:17 goals (averaging 2:1.7 per game).

Outrights of Swiss Super League for now

Zurich: 1.66% Thun: 1.26%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Zurich	10	4	2	4	18:22	-4	14
9	Thun	10	3	1	6	17:27	-10	10

Last Results with these Odds

Zürich - the odds 2.72 are the expected chance of winning is 34.77%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Zürich
Club Friendly
25.09.26	Zürich - Neuchâtel Xamax	3:1 ✺
Swiss Super League
19.09.26	Sion - Zürich	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Zürich - Vaduz	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Grasshoppers - Zürich	2:2 ✺
01.09.26	Zürich - Young Boys	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WTWTL
- FC Thun
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Thun - Kriens	2:0 ✺
Swiss Super League
20.09.26	Vaduz - Thun	1:2 ✺
16.09.26	Thun - Servette	2:4 ✺
12.09.26	Thun - Grasshoppers	0:1 ✺
06.09.26	Sion - Thun	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Super League
21.03.26	Zürich - Thun	2:1
20.12.25	Thun - Zürich	4:2
23.08.25	Zürich - Thun	0:4
Club Friendly
06.07.24	Thun - Zürich	0:0
Swiss Super League
03.08.20	Zürich - Thun	3:3
01.07.20	Thun - Zürich	3:2
02.11.19	Thun - Zürich	0:1

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