Match Info

MLS

Date: 6 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Lumen Field (Seattle, WA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Max
Australia	SBS On Demand, SBS Viceland
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
India	Eurosport, JioTV app, Vision+
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	Sport 2
Malaysia	Astro Go
Mexico	MAX
South-korea	SPOTV
Spain	3Cat, Esport3
Turkey	TRT Spor
Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC


	Seattle Sounders		Columbus Crew

	1	X	2
	2	3.75	3.4	Watch
	2	3.6	3.4
	2.08	3.7	3.35	Watch
	2.08	3.9	3.41
				Watch
	1.95	3.6	3.5
	2.03	3.93	3.4	Watch
	2.08	3.55	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.27)	3.72 ↑ (3.66)	3.42 ↑ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Seattle Sounders
46.7%

Draw
25.5%

Columbus Crew
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

26.1%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

26.9%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Seattle Sounders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Columbus Crew has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seattle Sounders than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Columbus Crew than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.9%	8.2%	6.8%

Seattle Sounders - Columbus Crew Predictions

Users Predictions: 72 users predict this event. Seattle will win (votes: 62 - 86.1%). Columbus will win (votes: 5 - 6.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 6.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Seattle: 78.1% – 94.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Seattle (1.51) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH 0 - Columbus (2.53) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH +1.75 - Seattle (1.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Columbus (1.78) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

EH -1 - Seattle (3.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Seattle Sounders will win (29 of 33 users predict this - 87.88%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 41 Selected Experts predict this event. Seattle (votes: 32 - 78%). Columbus (votes: 7 - 17.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 4.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Frei S. (G) 85. Kossa-Rienzi K. 25. Ragen J. 16. Roldan A. 5. Nouhou 18. Vargas O. 7. Roldan C. 9. Ferreira J. 11. Rusnak A. 14. Rothrock P. 19. Musovski D.	24. Bush E. (G) 23. Farsi M. 31. Moreira S. 25. Zawadzki S. 21. Cheberko Y. 8. Gazdag D. 7. Chambost D. 6. Nagbe D. (C) 11. Aliyu I. 10. Rossi D. 19. Russell-Rowe J.
Substitutes
33. Baker C. 15. Bell J. 10. de La Vega P. 95. De Rosario O. 77. Kent R. 75. Leyva D. 93. Minoungou G. 13. Morris J. 26. Thomas A. (G)	44. Brown T. 16. Habroune T. 13. Jackson A. 29. Mrowka C. 45. Presthus O. 22. Romero A. (G) 48. Ruvalcaba C. 14. Sejdic A.
Coaches
Schmetzer B.	Nancy W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Rossi D. ⚽, Aliyu I. (A), Russell-Rowe J. (A2)
43', 1 - 1, Rothrock P. ⚽, Kossa-Rienzi K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ragen J. 🟨,
71', Roldan C. 🟨,
72', Musovski D. ↓, Morris J. ↑,
78', Farsi M. 🟨,
80', Chambost D. ↓, Sejdic A. ↑,
80', Russell-Rowe J. ↓, Jackson A. ↑,
80', Rusnak A. ↓, de La Vega P. ↑,
80', Rothrock P. ↓, Kent R. ↑,
85', Moreira S. 🟨,
87', Kossa-Rienzi K. 🟨,
90+1', Aliyu I. ↓, Brown T. ↑,
90+3', Kossa-Rienzi K. 🟨,
90+5', Ferreira J. ↓, Bell J. ↑,
90+7', Rossi D. 🟨,
90+7', Farsi M. ↓, Ruvalcaba C. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Seattle won 3.

Seattle is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Columbus is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Seattle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Columbus has had a series of home games.

Seattle might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Seattle: Arriola P. (Knee Injury) Baker-Whiting R. (Red Card) Hawkins S. (Thigh Injury) Kim Kee-Hee (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Columbus: Arfsten M. (International duty)

There are questionable in Seattle: Gomez Andrade Y. (Injury)

There are questionable in Columbus: Amundsen M. (Knee Injury) Camacho R. (Thigh Injury) Ruvalcaba C. (Ankle Injury) Schulte P. (Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Seattle won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Seattle won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.5:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Seattle Sounders FC
MLS
28.06.25	Seattle Sounders - Austin FC	2:0 ✺
FIFA Club World Cup
23.06.25	Seattle Sounders - Paris Saint-Germain	0:2 ✺
19.06.25	Seattle Sounders - Atlético Madrid	1:3 ✺
15.06.25	Botafogo RJ - Seattle Sounders	2:1 ✺
MLS
08.06.25	Vancouver Whitecaps - Seattle Sounders	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 WLLLL
- Columbus Crew
MLS
29.06.25	Columbus Crew - Philadelphia Union	1:0 ✺
25.06.25	Columbus Crew - Atlanta United	3:1 ✺
14.06.25	Columbus Crew - Vancouver Whitecaps	2:1 ✺
31.05.25	Inter Miami - Columbus Crew	5:1 ✺
28.05.25	Columbus Crew - Nashville SC	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

MLS
07.09.24	Columbus Crew - Seattle Sounders	0:4
21.08.21	Columbus Crew - Seattle Sounders	1:2
12.12.20	Columbus Crew - Seattle Sounders	3:0
07.03.20	Seattle Sounders - Columbus Crew	1:1
06.07.19	Columbus Crew - Seattle Sounders	1:2
05.05.18	Seattle Sounders - Columbus Crew	0:0
31.05.17	Columbus Crew - Seattle Sounders	3:0

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