The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Columbus Crew 49.9%
Draw 25.9%
Philadelphia Union 24.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.8%
24.3%
19.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.1%
23.3%
19.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Columbus Crew has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Columbus Crew's form might have worsened.
Philadelphia Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Columbus Crew than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Columbus Crew, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Philadelphia Union, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Columbus Crew - Philadelphia Union Predictions
Users Predictions:
Columbus Crew will win
(10 of 10 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
28. Schulte P. (G) 2. Herrera A. 4. Camacho R. 25. Zawadzki S. (C) 18. Amundsen M. 30. Picard H. 7. Chambost D. 17. Bangoura S. 27. Arfsten M. 10. Rossi D. 16. Habroune T.
18. Blake A. (C) 26. Harriel N. 5. Sery Larsen J. 29. Makhanya O. 20. Ndinga P. 21. Jean Jacques D. 8. Bueno J. 14. Rafanello J. 6. Sullivan C. 10. Iloski M. 9. Damiani B.
Substitutes
90. Akhundzade N. 21. Cheberko Y. 23. Farsi M. 8. Gazdag D. 1. Hagen N. (G) 31. Moreira S. 12. Ruvalcaba C. 14. Sejdic A. 19. Thiare J.
23. Alladoh E. 28. Anello A. 11. Bedoya A. 16. Bender B. 51. Jakupovic M. 4. Lukic J. 2. Martinez G. 76. Rick A. (G) 19. Vassilev I.
Coaches
Rydstrom H.
Carnell B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Arfsten M. ⚽,
39', Jean Jacques D. 🟨,
45', Bangoura S. 🟨,
45+3', 2 - 0, Arfsten M. ⚽,
45+7', Bueno J. ↓, Lukic J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ndinga P. ↓, Bender B. ↑,
63', Picard H. ↓, Moreira S. ↑,
66', Sullivan C. ↓, Vassilev I. ↑,
66', Rafanello J. ↓, Anello A. ↑,
70', Rossi D. ↓, Thiare J. ↑,
70', Habroune T. ↓, Gazdag D. ↑,
81', Bangoura S. ↓, Sejdic A. ↑,
81', Arfsten M. ↓, Farsi M. ↑,
84', Damiani B. ↓, Alladoh E. ↑,
90+4', Sery Larsen J. 🟥,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Columbus won 4.
Columbus is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Philadelphia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Philadelphia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Columbus is the team to beat.
There will not play in Columbus: Abou Ali W.
(Injury)
Farsi M.
(Hernia)
Gomes A.
(Leg Injury)
There will not play in Philadelphia: Sullivan Q.
(Leg Injury)
There are questionable in Philadelphia: Anello A.
(Muscle Injury)
Davis III E.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Columbus won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:22. (average 0.9:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Columbus won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:5. (average 1.3:0.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Columbus Crew - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 55.81%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.
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Schulte P. (G) 
Herrera A. 
Camacho R. 
Amundsen M. 
Bangoura S. 
Rossi D. 
Blake A. (C) 
Makhanya O. 
Ndinga P. 
Jean Jacques D. 
Bueno J. 
Akhundzade N. 
Cheberko Y. 
Farsi M. 
Gazdag D. 
Hagen N. (G) 
Moreira S. 
Thiare J. 
Alladoh E. 
Lukic J. 
Martinez G. 
Rydstrom H. 
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