Match Info

NORTH & CENTRAL AMERICA: CONCACAF Champions Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 March 2025, Wednesday

Location: Lumen Field (Seattle, WA)

Referee: de Jesus Luna Guzman J. C. (Gtm)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
India	FanCode, FanCode
Mexico	Tubi TV
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Puerto-rico	Fox Sports 2
South-america	ViX Latin America
Usa	Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports 2, Foxsports.com, Tubi TV
World	Disney+


	Seattle Sounders		Cruz Azul

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3.8	Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.6
	2.09	3.1	3.55
	2.13	3.13	3.8
	2.09	3.2	3.66	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.4
	2.11	3.36	3.57	Watch
	2.09	3.1	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.33)	3.19 ↓ (3.36)	3.62 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

Watch this match and CONCACAF Champions Cup with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX Sports 2

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Current Win Probability

Seattle Sounders
44.9%

Draw
29.3%

Cruz Azul
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

27.6%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

26.9%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Seattle Sounders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Cruz Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cruz Azul might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seattle Sounders than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cruz Azul could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Seattle Sounders - Cruz Azul Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Seattle will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Cruz Azul will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Frei S. (C) 16. Roldan A. 28. Gomez Andrade Y. 25. Ragen J. 5. Nouhou 18. Vargas O. 7. Roldan C. 10. de La Vega P. 11. Rusnak A. 17. Arriola P. 13. Morris J.	23. Mier K. (G) 33. Piovi G. 2. Sanchez J. 3. Campos O. 4. Ditta W. 5. Orozco J. 8. Faravelli L. (C) 10. Montano A. 14. Gutierrez Torres A. H. 7. Bogusz M. 21. Fernandez G.
Substitutes
33. Baker C. 15. Bell J. 29. Castro J. (G) 9. Ferreira J. 39. Hawkins S. 6. Joao Paulo 85. Kalani K. 75. Leyva D. 93. Minoungou G. 19. Musovski D. 14. Rothrock P. 26. Thomas A. (G)	41. Gamboa B. 17. Garcia A. 1. Gudino A. (G) 35. Gutierrez L. 32. Jimenez C. 31. Morales A. 30. Ochoa E. (G) 18. Romero L. 37. Valdivia C. 26. Vargas C.
Coaches
Schmetzer B.	Sanchez V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Rusnak A. 🟨,
45+3', Fernandez G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', de La Vega P. ↓, Ferreira J. ↑,
67', Bogusz M. ↓, Gamboa B. ↑,
76', Arriola P. ↓, Minoungou G. ↑,
87', Rusnak A. ↓, Rothrock P. ↑,
87', Montano A. ↓, Romero L. ↑,
90+1', Faravelli L. 🟨,
90+3', Fernandez G. ↓, Morales A. ↑,
90+3', Gutierrez Torres A. H. ↓, Gutierrez L. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Seattle could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Seattle Sounders FC
MLS
01.03.25	Real Salt Lake - Seattle Sounders	2:0 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
26.02.25	Seattle Sounders - Antigua GFC	3:1 ✺
MLS
22.02.25	Seattle Sounders - Charlotte	2:2 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
19.02.25	Antigua GFC - Seattle Sounders	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
23.01.25	Puskás Academy - Seattle Sounders	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWTWW
- Cruz Azul FC
Mexican Liga MX
28.02.25	Mazatlan - Cruz Azul	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Cruz Azul - Querétaro	1:0 ✺
19.02.25	Santos Laguna - Cruz Azul	0:1 ✺
15.02.25	Tigres UANL - Cruz Azul	2:1 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
11.02.25	Cruz Azul - Real Hope	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TWWLW

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