Match Info

Liga MX - Clausura - Round 9

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Corona (Torreón)

Referee: Lopez I. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Canal 5, Disney+, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium
South-america	ViX Latin America
Usa	TUDN App, TUDN


	Santos Laguna		Cruz Azul

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.5	1.41	Watch
	6.9	4.7	1.41	Watch
	6.89	5.07	1.44
	6.51	4.94	1.44	Watch
	5.75	4.33	1.4	Watch
	6.58	4.7	1.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.52 ↑ (5.63)	4.71 ↑ (3.95)	1.42 ↓ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santos Laguna
14.3%

Draw
19.8%

Cruz Azul
65.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.1%

22.9%

61.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.8%

22.5%

62.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos Laguna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Cruz Azul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos Laguna than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Santos Laguna - Cruz Azul Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Cruz Azul (1.65) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Users Predictions: Cruz Azul will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cruz Azul will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Cruz Azul (votes: 8 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Acevedo C. (C) 17. Echeverria E. 2. Amione B. 19. Ortega H. 22. Picon K. 6. Guemez J. 5. Lopez A. 7. Dajome C. 10. Bullaude E. 21. Villalba F. 193. Gomez L.	1. Gudino A. (G) 4. Ditta W. 6. Lira E. (C) 33. Piovi G. 194. Morales A. 19. Rodriguez C. 16. Marquez J. 29. Rotondi C. 20. Paradela J. 7. Ibanez N. 8. Palavecino A.
Substitutes
4. Abella J. 195. Cedillo N. 185. Echilvestre J. C. 33. Holguin H. (G) 29. Jimenez T. 8. Mariscal Murra S. 24. Medina D. 14. Orona E. 28. Perez J. 254. Vuoso L.	3. Campos O. 209. Diaz J. 11. Ebere C. 21. Fernandez G. 17. Garcia A. 10. Montano A. 30. Ochoa E. (G) 22. Rodarte J. 18. Romero L. 239. Valdez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Gomez L. 🟨,
15', 0 - 1, Marquez J. ⚽,
28', Guemez J. 🟨,
28', Ibanez N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 1 - 1, Bullaude E. ⚽, Dajome C. (A),
56', Ibanez N. ↓, Fernandez G. ↑,
57', Morales A. ↓, Campos O. ↑,
66', Dajome C. ↓, Medina D. ↑,
66', Gomez L. ↓, Echilvestre J. C. ↑,
72', Villalba F. ↓, Vuoso L. ↑,
78', 1 - 2, Paradela J. ⚽, Rotondi C. (A),
80', Marquez J. ↓, Montano A. ↑,
80', Ortega H. 🟨,
84', Paradela J. ↓, Rodarte J. ↑,
84', Rotondi C. ↓, Romero L. ↑,
84', Amione B. ↓, Orona E. ↑,
85', Lopez A. ↓, Jimenez T. ↑,
89', Palavecino A. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos Laguna won 1.

Santos Laguna has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Cruz Azul is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cruz Azul may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Santos Laguna has had a series of away games.

In this match, Cruz Azul is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Santos Laguna: Di Yorio L. (Red Card) Gruezo C. (Red Card) Lozano C. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Cruz Azul: Mier K. (Injury) Orozco J. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Santos Laguna: Sordo R. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santos Laguna won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 28:28. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Santos Laguna won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 1.6:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Cruz Azul	10	5	1	4	19:18	1	16
16	Santos Laguna	10	3	1	6	10:15	-5	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos Laguna
Mexican Liga MX
27.02.26	Querétaro - Santos Laguna	2:2 ✺
21.02.26	Club León - Santos Laguna	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Santos Laguna - Mazatlan	1:2 ✺
06.02.26	Tigres UANL - Santos Laguna	5:1 ✺
30.01.26	UNAM - Santos Laguna	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TLLLL
- Cruz Azul FC
Mexican Liga MX
28.02.26	Monterrey - Cruz Azul	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Cruz Azul - Chivas Guadalajara	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Cruz Azul - Tigres UANL	2:1 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
12.02.26	Cruz Azul - Vancouver FC	5:0 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
07.02.26	Toluca - Cruz Azul	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
16.08.25	Cruz Azul - Santos Laguna	3:2
19.02.25	Santos Laguna - Cruz Azul	0:1
02.11.24	Cruz Azul - Santos Laguna	2:0
09.03.24	Santos Laguna - Cruz Azul	3:0
20.08.23	Cruz Azul - Santos Laguna	2:2
29.04.23	Cruz Azul - Santos Laguna	3:2
06.08.22	Santos Laguna - Cruz Azul	4:0

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