The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Fasil Kenema 28.3%
Draw 35.7%
Saint George 36%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.9%
33.9%
30.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.7%
33.2%
29.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fasil Kenema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fasil Kenema's form might have worsened.
Saint George has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Saint George's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fasil Kenema than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fasil Kenema, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint George than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Saint George, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Fasil Kenema - Saint George Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Fasil Kenema (2.13) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fasil Kenema (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
#ad
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
82', 1 - 0, Debebe M. ⚽,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fasil Kenema won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Fasil Kenema may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Fasil Kenema won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 0.8:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Fasil Kenema won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.9:0.9).
Standings
2025/26
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Fasil Kenema
38
14
13
11
28:28
0
55
6
St. George
38
14
12
12
33:31
2
54
Last Results with these Odds
Fasil Kenema - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 35.92%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.