Match Info
Premier League - Round 30Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday
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Fasil Kenema |
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Bahir Dar Kenema |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.98 |
2.58 |
2.58 |
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3.22 |
2.5 |
2.7 |
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3.27 |
2.39 |
2.76 |
Watch |
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3 |
2.4 |
2.6 |
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3.06 |
2.77 |
2.63 |
Watch |
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2.55 |
2.7 |
2.85 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.01 ↑ (2.55) |
2.56 ↓ (2.7) |
2.69 ↓ (2.85) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Fasil Kenema 30.3% | Draw 35.7% | Bahir Dar Kenema 34% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fasil Kenema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)Bahir Dar Kenema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fasil Kenema than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahir Dar Kenema than the current prediction. (-2.5%)Fasil Kenema - Bahir Dar Kenema Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Fasil Kenema will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 47', 0 - 1, Gebremichael A. ⚽,
- 69', 0 - 2, Semu B. ⚽,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 and 11).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fasil Kenema won 0.The recent form of both competitors has been shaky. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Fasil Kenema won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 0.9:0.5).Including home matches between the teams, Fasil Kenema won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:0. (average 1.1:0).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 11 | Fasil Kenema | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
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| 13 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Fasil Kenema - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 35.22%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Ethiopian Premier League | | | 24.12.25 | Bahir Dar Kenema - Fasil Kenema | 0:0 | | 06.03.25 | Fasil Kenema - Bahir Dar Kenema | 0:0 | | 09.02.25 | Bahir Dar Kenema - Fasil Kenema | 2:1 | | 09.05.24 | Fasil Kenema - Bahir Dar Kenema | 0:0 | | 03.11.23 | Bahir Dar Kenema - Fasil Kenema | 0:0 | | 08.04.23 | Bahir Dar Kenema - Fasil Kenema | 2:1 | | 29.10.22 | Fasil Kenema - Bahir Dar Kenema | 0:0 |
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