Match Info

Date: 19 November 2021, Friday


	Sedan		Boulogne

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.75	2.9
	2.6	2.75	2.75
	2.7	2.75	2.8
	2.78	2.95	2.9
	2.62	2.75	2.8
	2.76	2.69	2.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.35)	2.77 ↓ (2.88)	2.85 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sedan
34.6%

Draw
33.1%

Boulogne
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

31.8%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

23%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sedan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Boulogne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sedan than the current prediction. (+19.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sedan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boulogne than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Boulogne, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sedan - Boulogne Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Sedan is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Boulogne is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sedan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Sedan won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Sedan won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sedan
Coupe De France
14.11.21	Sedan - Paris FC	2:3 penalties ✺
French Ligue 3
08.11.21	Concarneau - Sedan	1:1 ✺
28.10.21	Sedan - Laval	0:1 ✺
22.10.21	Sedan - Stade Briochin	2:1 ✺
11.10.21	Bourg-Péronnas - Sedan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LTLWT
- US Boulogne
French Ligue 3
05.11.21	Boulogne - Bourg-Péronnas	1:2 ✺
26.10.21	Sète 34 - Boulogne	4:0 ✺
22.10.21	Boulogne - Châteauroux	1:1 ✺
08.10.21	Creteil - Boulogne	3:2 ✺
01.10.21	Boulogne - Le Mans	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
21.04.17	Sedan - Boulogne	2:2
25.11.16	Boulogne - Sedan	2:1
13.05.16	Boulogne - Sedan	0:0
18.12.15	Sedan - Boulogne	1:2
French Ligue 2
09.03.12	Boulogne - Sedan	N/A

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