Match Info

National - Round 34

Date: 16 May 2025, Friday

Location: Stade de la Libération (Boulogne-sur-Mer)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	FFF TV
World	FIFA+


	Boulogne		Châteauroux

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.9	3.8
	1.63	4.3	4.3
	1.65	4.6	4.29
	1.59	4.62	4.13	Watch
	1.67	3.9	4
	1.6	4.45	4.32	Watch
	1.63	4.3	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.65)	4.3 ↑ (4.23)	4.16 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boulogne
56.4%

Draw
21.4%

Châteauroux
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

21.9%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

21.2%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boulogne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

The chances for Châteauroux have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boulogne than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Châteauroux than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

Boulogne - Châteauroux Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Boulogne will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Châteauroux will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boulogne: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Boulogne (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Boulogne (2.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Boulogne (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Pandor Y. (G) 11. Averlant T. 12. Boyer J. 23. Dabo E. 24. Epailly T. 17. Fatou C. 21. Hbouch A. 26. Thiam D. 20. Toure H. 8. Vercruysse J. 5. Zohore N.	40. Konate H. (G) 28. Agounon B. 9. Diallo M. 17. Magnora A. 13. Mbengue A. 7. Mendy F. 19. Michel T. 8. Pierre L. 29. Tormin T. 15. Umbdenstock I. 35. Wandji N.
Substitutes
27. Baala A. 14. Bultel J. 15. Pinot A. 9. Rambaud T. 30. Uriev A. (G)	16. Cognard B. (G) 3. Coulibaly S. 33. Dembele D. 10. N'Goma F. 11. Versini G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Tormin T. ↓, Versini G. ↑,
56', Mbengue A. ↓, Dembele D. ↑,
57', Zohore N. 🟨,
67', 0 - 1, Diallo M. ⚽, Versini G. (A),
68', Fatou C. ↓, Rambaud T. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Rambaud T. ⚽, Averlant T. (A),
76', Toure H. ↓, Bultel J. ↑,
80', Pierre L. ↓, N'Goma F. ↑,
80', Hbouch A. 🟨,
87', Boyer J. ↓, Baala A. ↑,
87', Averlant T. ↓, Pinot A. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2 (Promotion: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boulogne won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Boulogne is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Boulogne: Kitenge C. (Injury) Lenogue X. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Rambaud T. (Injury)

There will not play in Châteauroux: Colella H. (Inactive) Pires V. (Inactive) Versini G. (Inactive)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Boulogne won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 0.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Boulogne won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Boulogne
French Ligue 3
09.05.25	Dijon - Boulogne	0:3 ✺
02.05.25	Boulogne - Sochaux	2:3 ✺
25.04.25	Villefranche - Boulogne	1:1 ✺
18.04.25	Boulogne - Versailles	1:0 ✺
11.04.25	Concarneau - Boulogne	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WLTWT
- Châteauroux
French Ligue 3
09.05.25	Châteauroux - Orleans	2:0 ✺
02.05.25	Châteauroux - Dijon	3:3 ✺
25.04.25	Aubagne - Châteauroux	6:2 ✺
18.04.25	Châteauroux - Sochaux	1:0 ✺
11.04.25	Nancy - Châteauroux	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
16.08.24	Châteauroux - Boulogne	0:1
25.03.22	Châteauroux - Boulogne	0:1
22.10.21	Boulogne - Châteauroux	1:1
21.01.17	Châteauroux - Boulogne	1:0
19.08.16	Boulogne - Châteauroux	1:1
12.02.16	Châteauroux - Boulogne	3:2
04.09.15	Boulogne - Châteauroux	1:3

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