Match Info

National - Round 29

Date: 11 April 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Marcel Picot (Nancy)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	FFF TV
World	FIFA+


	Nancy		Châteauroux

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.33	6.25
	1.38	4.6	7.4
	1.37	4.47	7.31	Watch
	1.36	4.2	7.5
	1.46	4.3	6.66	Watch
	1.38	4.6	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.52)	4.42 ↑ (3.95)	7.09 ↑ (5.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nancy
66.2%

Draw
20.8%

Châteauroux
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

23.5%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8%

22.8%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nancy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nancy's performance.

Châteauroux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nancy than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Châteauroux than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Nancy - Châteauroux Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Nancy (votes: 2 - 50%). Châteauroux (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Châteauroux (3.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Châteauroux (5.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Nancy will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Nancy (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Châteauroux (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Sourzac M. (G) 12. Julloux A. 14. Saint-Ruf N. 25. Thiare A. 19. Experience M. 6. Bouriaud T. 17. Carlier M. 7. Gomel B. 8. Bouabdelli W. 15. Fdaouch Z. 20. Bokangu B.	40. Konate H. (G) 19. Michel T. 17. Magnora A. 6. Pires V. 28. Agounon B. 7. Mendy F. 35. Doumbouya M. 4. Kamissoko N. 8. Pierre L. 11. Versini G. 14. Clairicia M.
Substitutes
13. Camara B. 18. Ebonog S. 22. Evans J. 11. Sidibe O. 9. Toure C.	16. Cognard B. (G) 9. Diallo M. 10. N'Goma F. 2. Pelletier J. A. 29. Tormin T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Doumbouya M. 🟨,
11', Fdaouch Z. ↓, Sidibe O. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Clairicia M. 🟨,
67', Gomel B. ↓, Evans J. ↑,
67', Bouabdelli W. ↓, Toure C. ↑,
68', Pierre L. 🟨,
76', Magnora A. 🟨,
77', Versini G. ↓, Tormin T. ↑,
78', Clairicia M. ↓, Diallo M. ↑,
78', Sidibe O. ↓, Cisse S. I. ↑,
83', Kamissoko N. 🟨,
89', Kamissoko N. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 0, Toure C. ⚽, Bouriaud T. (A),
90+2', Pires V. 🟨,
90+2', Thiare A. 🟨,
90+5', Pires V. ↓, N'Goma F. ↑,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nancy won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Nancy is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Nancy: Dabasse A. (Inactive) Suljic C. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Châteauroux: Duterte R. (Inactive) Gomes Y. (Injury) Michel T. (Inactive) Pelletier J. A. (Inactive) Umbdenstock I. (Inactive)

Last 17 head-to-head matches Nancy won 11 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 35:17 (average 2.1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Nancy won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19:9 (average 2.1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Nancy Lorraine
French Ligue 3
04.04.25	Paris 13 Atletico - Nancy	2:2 ✺
28.03.25	Nancy - Le Mans	2:0 ✺
14.03.25	Nancy - Quevilly	4:1 ✺
07.03.25	Bourg-Péronnas - Nancy	1:0 ✺
28.02.25	Nancy - Boulogne	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TWWLL
- Châteauroux
French Ligue 3
04.04.25	Châteauroux - Villefranche	2:2 ✺
28.03.25	Paris 13 Atletico - Châteauroux	3:2 ✺
21.03.25	Châteauroux - Versailles	2:2 ✺
14.03.25	Le Mans - Châteauroux	2:0 ✺
07.03.25	Châteauroux - Concarneau	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
22.11.24	Châteauroux - Nancy	0:2
10.05.24	Nancy - Châteauroux	1:3
12.01.24	Châteauroux - Nancy	0:1
17.03.23	Nancy - Châteauroux	0:1
12.10.22	Châteauroux - Nancy	3:1
French Ligue 2
27.02.21	Châteauroux - Nancy	1:4
31.10.20	Nancy - Châteauroux	2:1

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