Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 5

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday


	Selaya		Naval Reinosa

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.70	4.75
	1.62	3.55	4.5
	1.66	3.53	4.82
	1.58	3.78	5.2	Watch
	1.64	3.45	4.75
	1.69	3.75	4.52
	1.6	3.55	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.81)	3.62 ↑ (3.5)	4.71 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Selaya
55.8%

Draw
25%

Naval Reinosa
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

26.2%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Selaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Selaya's performance.

Naval Reinosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
58', 2 - 1, ⚽,
61', 2 - 2, ⚽,
70', (Penalty Awarded),
86', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Recent results have been tough for Selaya (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Selaya may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Selaya carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Selaya has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:1.

Specifically in home fixtures for Selaya against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Selaya	5	2	1	2	5:7	-2	7
17	Naval Reinosa	5	0	1	4	4:13	-9	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Selaya FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
26.09.26	Escobedo - Selaya	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Selaya - Atlético Albericia	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Tropezón - Selaya	3:0 ✺
06.09.26	Selaya - Castro	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
21.08.26	Selaya - Cayón	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWLTL
- Naval Reinosa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
19.09.26	Bezana - Naval Reinosa	3:2 ✺
10.05.25	Cayón - Naval Reinosa	3:1 ✺
04.05.25	Naval Reinosa - Bezana	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Revilla - Naval Reinosa	2:4 ✺
18.04.25	Naval Reinosa - Colindres	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3
23.01.22	Selaya - Naval Reinosa	1:1

Selaya - Naval Reinosa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide