The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Semen Padang 34.7%
Draw 30%
Persijap Jepara 35.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.8%
26.1%
32.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.5%
26.5%
31.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Semen Padang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Semen Padang's form might have worsened.
Persijap Jepara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Semen Padang than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Semen Padang, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Persijap Jepara than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
22.2%
44.4%
33.3%
Semen Padang - Persijap Jepara Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Semen Padang will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Persijap will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Augusto A. (G) 2. Tsouka R. 24. Meneses A. (C) 5. Gufron A. 3. Kristiano A. 21. Diarra B. 8. Ariansyah R. 10. Froese K. 7. Nakagawa K. 9. Guillermo 15. Juliansyah F.
20. Johansah S. (G) 14. Hidayat R. 26. Brito D. 4. Tiri 55. Yakubu N. 21. Saepul R. 10. Martinez B. 33. Hamisi W. (C) 95. Franca Carlos 88. Herrera B. 34. Guarrotxena I.
Substitutes
25. Afandi Z. 113. Azhhari G. 89. Bachtiar A. (G) 22. Botan K. 13. Diego Mauricio 4. Giraldo J. 86. Oropa A. 27. Oscario R. (G) 14. Saputra D. 121. Sentosa A. 63. Wahyudi R.
1. Ardiansyah M. (G) 16. Arjunsyah A. 66. Dicky Kurniawan 71. Fadlillah A. 7. Indra Arya 78. Lessy B. 80. Morelatto 17. Ramadhan F. 11. Sudi A.
Coaches
Nahumarury I.
Lemos M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
3', Tsouka R. 🟨,
37', Ariansyah R. 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Saepul R. ⚽, Franca Carlos (A),
45', 0 - 2, Franca Carlos (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Diarra B. ↓, Giraldo J. ↑,
46', Juliansyah F. ↓, Botan K. ↑,
46', Kristiano A. ↓, Wahyudi R. ↑,
58', Saepul R. ↓, Dicky Kurniawan ↑,
61', Tiri 🟨,
66', Dicky Kurniawan 🟨,
66', Ariansyah R. ↓, Oropa A. ↑,
72', Gufron A. 🟨,
77', Nakagawa K. ↓, Diego Mauricio ↑,
82', Herrera B. ↓, Morelatto ↑,
82', Guarrotxena I. ↓, Sudi A. ↑,
86', Franca Carlos ↓, Fadlillah A. ↑,
90+1', Giraldo J. 🟨,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 15).
Semen Padang has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Persijap Jepara has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Persijap Jepara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Semen Padang could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Semen Padang won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Semen Padang won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).
Indonesia
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Augusto A. (G) 
Tsouka R. 
Meneses A. (C) 
Gufron A. 
Diarra B. 
Froese K. 
Nakagawa K. 
Guillermo 
Yakubu N. 
Giraldo J. 
Sudi A. 
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