Match Info

MALTA: Challenge League - Relegation Group - Round 3

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Centenary Stadium (Ta' Qali)


	Senglea Athletic		Gudja United

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.25	2.23	Watch
	3.88	3.02	1.93
	3.42	3.35	2.01	Watch
	3.79	3.36	1.86
	2.9	3.25	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↑ (2.5)	3.25 ↓ (3.75)	2.05 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Senglea Athletic
27.1%

Draw
28.2%

Gudja United
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

24%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

23.4%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Senglea Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Senglea Athletic's form might have worsened.

Gudja United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Senglea Athletic than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Senglea Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gudja United than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Senglea Athletic - Gudja United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Mintoff S. (G) 9. Attram G. T. 22. Cini A. 10. Cutajar R. 8. Douglas Lukaku 6. Fenech T. 17. McKay L. 30. Meilak S. (C) 25. Ngom M. L. 7. Rudy Cassar J. 20. Sammut P. P.	90. Zammit G. (G) 5. Bartolo T. 8. Cutajar J. 11. Delmar J. 18. Dias Santos W. 4. Gauci N. 22. Mifsud D. (C) 13. Mizzi A. 77. Shola H. S. 17. Tasic V. 7. Willian
Substitutes
28. Bonello K. 3. Buttigieg N. 4. Gatt M. 1. Grech J. (G) 11. Nakov A. 99. Tweneboa B. 19. Vella E. 18. Vella K.	19. Conti M. 10. Cremona L. 39. Farrugia G. 30. Micallef E. 26. Pisani J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Tasic V. ⚽,
43', Meilak S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Cutajar R. ↓, Tweneboa B. ↑,
46', Douglas Lukaku ↓, Nakov A. ↑,
50', Fenech T. 🟨,
53', 1 - 1, Attram G. T. ⚽,
56', Nakov A. 🟨,
65', Mizzi A. 🟨,
72', Sammut P. P. ↓, Bonello K. ↑,
75', Cutajar J. 🟨,
76', Gauci N. 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Senglea is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gudja United is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Gudja United have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Senglea won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2:13 (average 0.5:3.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Senglea won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:5 (average 0:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Senglea Athletic
Maltese Challenge League
23.02.25	St. Andrews - Senglea Athletic	1:0 ✺
16.02.25	Senglea Athletic - Mtarfa	3:2 ✺
08.02.25	Senglea Athletic - Santa Lucia	1:3 ✺
02.02.25	Senglea Athletic - Żurrieq	1:3 ✺
26.01.25	Sirens - Senglea Athletic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWLLW
- Gudja United
Maltese Challenge League
22.02.25	Gudja United - Fgura United	2:3 ✺
16.02.25	Gudja United - Żebbuġ Rangers	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	Gudja United - Mtarfa	3:1 ✺
01.02.25	Gudja United - Marsa	1:2 ✺
26.01.25	Pietà Hotspurs - Gudja United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
01.12.24	Gudja United - Senglea Athletic	4:1
Maltese Premier League
09.12.20	Senglea Athletic - Gudja United	0:2
Club Friendly
04.09.20	Senglea Athletic - Gudja United	0:3
Maltese Premier League
07.12.19	Gudja United - Senglea Athletic	4:1

Senglea Athletic - Gudja United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide