Match Info

MALTA: Challenge League - Round 15

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Centenary Stadium (Ta' Qali)


	Senglea Athletic		Santa Lucia

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.7	1.75
	3.7	3.8	1.77	Watch
	3.28	3.88	1.8
	3.66	3.91	1.79
	4.07	3.68	1.72
	3.7	3.8	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.65 ↓ (4.18)	3.8 ↓ (3.82)	1.77 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Senglea Athletic
24.8%

Draw
23.9%

Santa Lucia
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.8%

23.9%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

23.3%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Senglea Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Santa Lucia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Senglea Athletic than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Lucia than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Senglea Athletic - Santa Lucia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Mintoff S. (G) 9. Attram G. T. 22. Cini A. 8. Douglas Lukaku 81. Farrugia I. 6. Fenech T. 17. McKay L. 30. Meilak S. (C) 7. Rudy Cassar J. 20. Sammut P. P. 99. Tweneboa B.	13. Farrugia C. (G) 24. Agius S. 19. Asante E. 23. Bajada J. 42. Hanan B. 7. Legault W. 45. Mawuena S. 5. Nicholl J. 8. Ojo T. 74. Vella A. 16. Vella M. (C)
Substitutes
28. Bonello K. 10. Cutajar R. 4. Gatt M. 1. Grech J. 11. Nakov A. 21. Traore D. 19. Vella E. 18. Vella K.	14. Bajada J. 27. Borg A. 1. Buhagiar M. (G) 21. Mangion D. 2. Polidano J. 9. Salis I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', Meilak S. 🟨,
42', Fenech T. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Mawuena S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', 0 - 2, Asante E. ⚽,
58', Attram G. T. ↓, Traore D. ↑,
59', Sammut P. P. ↓, Vella K. ↑,
70', Fenech T. ↓, Nakov A. ↑,
72', 1 - 2, Nakov A. ⚽,
76', Agius S. ↓, Mangion D. ↑,
85', 1 - 3, Vella M. ⚽,
90+1', Asante E. ↓, Salis I. ↑,
90+3', Vella K. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League (Promotion Group: )).

Senglea is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Santa Lucia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Santa Lucia is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Senglea won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:9 (average 1:3).

Including matches at home between the teams Senglea won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Senglea Athletic
Maltese Challenge League
02.02.25	Senglea Athletic - Żurrieq	1:3 ✺
26.01.25	Sirens - Senglea Athletic	1:2 ✺
18.01.25	Senglea Athletic - Lija Athletic	2:3 ✺
05.01.25	Mġarr United - Senglea Athletic	2:1 ✺
21.12.24	Senglea Athletic - Tarxien Rainbows	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWLLL
- Santa Lucia FC
Maltese Challenge League
02.02.25	Santa Lucia - Mġarr United	5:3 ✺
25.01.25	Fgura United - Santa Lucia	5:1 ✺
19.01.25	Tarxien Rainbows - Santa Lucia	2:1 ✺
04.01.25	Santa Lucia - Żurrieq	2:0 ✺
22.12.24	Lija Athletic - Santa Lucia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
14.12.20	Santa Lucia - Senglea Athletic	4:1
22.02.20	Senglea Athletic - Santa Lucia	2:5
05.10.19	Santa Lucia - Senglea Athletic	0:0

Senglea Athletic - Santa Lucia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide