The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma 32.3%
Draw 29.6%
Bucheon 38.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.7%
26.8%
45.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.6%
25.8%
47.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
Bucheon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bucheon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bucheon than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bucheon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Bucheon Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
34. Park Ji-Min (G) 7. Shin Jae-Won 4. Venicio 3. Kang Eui-Bin 22. Jung Seung-Yong 18. Kim Beom-Su 74. Samuel Andrade 33. Park Su-bin 27. Lee Jun-Sang 9. Ruiz L. (C) 16. Ryu Jun-sun
1. Kim Hyung-Keun (G) 55. Koo Ja-Ryong 30. Jeon In-Kyu 6. Jeong Ho-Jin 17. Kim Kyu-Min 16. Park Hyun-Bin 23. Takahashi K. 7. Thiaguinho Santos 10. Rodrigo Bassani (C) 99. Gong Min-Hyun 41. Galego
Substitutes
13. Ahn Jae-min (G) 93. Jin Seong-Uk 8. Lee Jeong-Bin 30. Park Byeong-gyu 77. Park Ji-Won 91. Park Kwang-Il 5. Yang Si-Hoo
4. Choe Won-Cheol 20. Hong Sung-Wook 21. Kim Hyeon-Yeob (G) 18. Lee Eui-Hyeong 9. Montano J. 11. Park Chang-Jun 13. Park Hyung-Jin
Coaches
Jeon Kyeong-Jun
Lee Young-Min
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Samuel Andrade 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ryu Jun-sun ↓, Jin Seong-Uk ↑,
46', Lee Jun-Sang ↓, Park Ji-Won ↑,
52', Jeong Ho-Jin 🟨,
60', Takahashi K. ↓, Choe Won-Cheol ↑,
61', Gong Min-Hyun ↓, Montano J. ↑,
61', Thiaguinho Santos ↓, Park Chang-Jun ↑,
61', Kim Beom-Su ↓, Lee Jeong-Bin ↑,
69', Rodrigo Bassani 🟨,
69', Venicio 🟨,
79', Galego 🟨,
88', Koo Ja-Ryong 🟨,
89', Lee Jeong-Bin 🟨,
89', Rodrigo Bassani ↓, Lee Eui-Hyeong ↑,
89', Kim Kyu-Min ↓, Park Hyung-Jin ↑,
90+1', Park Hyung-Jin 🟨,
Preview
One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Promotion: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Seongnam won 0.
Recent matches Seongnam is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Bucheon is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Bucheon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Seongnam have a series of guest games.
Bucheon will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 14 head-to-head matches Seongnam won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 16:18 (average 1.1:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Seongnam won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:9 (average 1.1:1.3).